Prediction: Villarreal vs Espanyol
Team pages: Villarreal · Espanyol
- Villarreal4-1Espanyol
- Espanyol0-2Villarreal
- Villarreal1-0Espanyol
- Espanyol1-2Villarreal
- Villarreal4-2Espanyol
- Espanyol0-1Villarreal
| Villarreal | Draw | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 23% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Villarreal (rating 1520 vs 1436).
- H2H favours Villarreal: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Villarreal | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 6.9 | 0.7 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 5.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Villarreal 6–0–0 Espanyol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02/26 Spain La Liga | Villarreal | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Espanyol |
| 08/11/25 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Villarreal |
| 27/04/25 Spain La Liga | Villarreal | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Espanyol |
| 26/09/24 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Villarreal |
| 27/04/23 Spain La Liga | Villarreal | 4-2 HT 0-1 | Espanyol |
| 09/11/22 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Villarreal |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 39 | 9 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 19 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 16 | 14 |
| 7 | CD Alaves | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 11 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Deportivo A Coruna | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 11 |
| 11 | Levante | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
| 12 | Villarreal | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 15 | Getafe | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 8 |
| 17 | Racing Santander | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 8 |
| 18 | Elche | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 7 |
| 19 | Valencia | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Villarreal | Espanyol |
|---|---|---|
| Elche | 0-0 D | 1-3 L |
| Real Madrid | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Levante | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Malaga | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Atletico Madrid | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Villarreal (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Villarreal
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 10/10 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Levante Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/09 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | CD Alaves Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
4-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Espanyol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/10 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 18/09 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Villarreal vs Espanyol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Villarreal win (60%). Probabilities: Villarreal 60%, draw 23%, Espanyol 18%.
How many goals are expected in Villarreal vs Espanyol?
The model expects 3.22 goals (Villarreal 2.12 · Espanyol 1.1), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Villarreal vs Espanyol?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.