Football · Spain La Liga · 07/11, 16:15
Prediction: Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruna
Team pages: Espanyol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Espanyol1.5
Deportivo A Coruna1.18
1X2
Espanyol
Draw
Deportivo A Coruna
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Espanyol
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Deportivo A Coruna
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Espanyol
3–2–1
Deportivo A Coruna
(6 last)
- Deportivo A Coruna0-0Espanyol
- Espanyol4-1Deportivo A Coruna
- Deportivo A Coruna1-2Espanyol
- Espanyol1-1Deportivo A Coruna
- Espanyol1-0Deportivo A Coruna
- Deportivo A Coruna3-0Espanyol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Espanyol 1438 · Deportivo A Coruna 1478
| Espanyol | Draw | Deportivo A Coruna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 28% | 29% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo A Coruna (rating 1438 vs 1478).
- H2H favours Espanyol: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Espanyol | Deportivo A Coruna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.5 | 1.8 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Espanyol 3–2–1 Deportivo A Coruna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/18 Spain La Liga | Deportivo A Coruna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Espanyol |
| 24/09/17 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 4-1 HT 2-0 | Deportivo A Coruna |
| 07/05/17 Spain La Liga | Deportivo A Coruna | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Espanyol |
| 06/01/17 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo A Coruna |
| 20/02/16 Spain La Liga | Espanyol | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo A Coruna |
| 27/09/15 Spain La Liga | Deportivo A Coruna | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Espanyol |
Standings · Spain La Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 10 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 18 | 19 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
| 7 | CD Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 12 |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo A Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 11 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19 | 10 |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 10 |
| 16 | Rayo Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 9 |
| 18 | Espanyol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 6 |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Espanyol | Deportivo A Coruna |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Malaga | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Elche | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Sevilla | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Real Sociedad | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Levante | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Espanyol (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Espanyol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Racing Santander Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 17/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/10 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 18/09 | Elche Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Osasuna Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 29/08 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | Real Madrid Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Levante Spain La Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Deportivo A Coruna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/10 | Levante Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/10 | Real Sociedad Spain La Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | Real Betis Spain La Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 16/09 | Sevilla Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Getafe Spain La Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Villarreal Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Valencia Spain La Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/08 | Malaga Spain La Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | Elche Spain La Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Espanyol win (43%). Probabilities: Espanyol 43%, draw 28%, Deportivo A Coruna 29%.
How many goals are expected in Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruna?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Espanyol 1.5 · Deportivo A Coruna 1.18), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Espanyol vs Deportivo A Coruna?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.