Football · Spain Segunda · 03/10, 14:00

Prediction: Albacete vs Eibar

Team pages: Albacete · Eibar

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.47Total

Albacete0.8

Eibar1.66

1X2

17% 27% 57%

Albacete Draw Eibar

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

0-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Albacete 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WWLLLLLDLL

Eibar 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Albacete 1–2–3 Eibar (6 last)

Albacete0-3Eibar
Eibar3-2Albacete
Eibar1-1Albacete
Albacete0-1Eibar
Albacete2-1Eibar
Eibar1-1Albacete

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eibar (rating 1404 vs 1588).
H2H favours Eibar: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Albacete	Eibar
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.3	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.55
X	3.14 → 3.21▲	Pinn 3.21
2	2.80 → 2.90▲	Pinn 2.90

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:41 +52’	2.60	3.14	2.80
20:16 +6’	2.55▼	3.21▲	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Albacete 1–2–3 Eibar

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Spain Segunda	Albacete	0-3 HT 0-2	Eibar
08/11/25 Spain Segunda	Eibar	3-2 HT 0-1	Albacete
18/01/25 Spain Segunda	Eibar	1-1 HT 1-0	Albacete
09/09/24 Spain Segunda	Albacete	0-1 HT 0-1	Eibar
28/04/24 Spain Segunda	Albacete	2-1 HT 1-1	Eibar
12/11/23 Spain Segunda	Eibar	1-1 HT 1-0	Albacete

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	6	5	1	0	12	2	16
2	Eibar	6	5	0	1	12	4	15
3	Girona	7	4	1	2	14	8	13
4	Mallorca	6	4	1	1	8	2	13
5	Almeria	6	4	0	2	10	4	12
6	Sabadell	7	3	3	1	8	6	12
7	Burgos	6	3	2	1	10	7	11
8	Leganes	6	3	2	1	6	5	11
9	Tenerife	7	3	2	2	8	9	11
10	Sporting Gijon	6	3	1	2	5	4	10
11	Las Palmas	6	3	1	2	8	8	10
12	Oviedo	6	2	2	2	5	4	8
13	Granada	7	2	2	3	10	11	8
14	Real Sociedad B	7	2	2	3	9	10	8
15	Celta Fortuna	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
16	FC Andorra	7	2	0	5	12	15	6
17	Cordoba	6	2	0	4	9	13	6
18	Eldense	6	1	2	3	4	8	5
19	Valladolid	6	1	2	3	3	8	5
20	Cadiz	7	0	4	3	7	10	4
21	AD Ceuta FC	7	1	1	5	6	17	4
22	Albacete	7	0	1	6	4	12	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Albacete	Eibar
Cordoba	1-2 L	2-0 W
Granada	1-1 D	3-0 W
CD Castellon	0-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eibar (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Albacete

WWLLLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Girona Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
18/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	1-0	1-2	4	7	L
12/09	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	5	2	D
06/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	3	2	L
29/08	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	8	6	L
22/08	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	5	2	L
16/08	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
30/05	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
24/05	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	2-0	3-1	6	1	W
15/05	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-0	2-1	7	4	W

Eibar

WLWLLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Eldense Spain Segunda	1-0	2-1	2	6	W
14/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	4-0	4-0	1	7	W
06/09	Granada Spain Segunda	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
30/08	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
23/08	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
16/08	Tenerife Spain Segunda	1-2	1-3	7	1	L
31/05	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	6	1	L
24/05	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
16/05	Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
10/05	Mirandes Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Albacete vs Eibar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Eibar win (57%). Probabilities: Albacete 17%, draw 27%, Eibar 57%.

How many goals are expected in Albacete vs Eibar?

The model expects 2.47 goals (Albacete 0.8 · Eibar 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Albacete vs Eibar?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.