Football · Spain Segunda · 04/10, 18:30
Prediction: Las Palmas vs Valladolid
Team pages: Las Palmas · Valladolid
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Las Palmas1.65
Valladolid0.83
1X2
Las Palmas
Draw
Valladolid
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Las Palmas
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Valladolid
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Las Palmas
4–1–1
Valladolid
(6 last)
- Las Palmas2-1Valladolid
- Valladolid0-1Las Palmas
- Valladolid1-1Las Palmas
- Las Palmas2-1Valladolid
- Valladolid0-1Las Palmas
- Valladolid3-1Las Palmas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Las Palmas (rating 1527 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Las Palmas: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Las Palmas | Valladolid | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 0.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Las Palmas 4–1–1 Valladolid
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Spain Segunda | Las Palmas | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Valladolid |
| 14/11/25 Spain Segunda | Valladolid | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Las Palmas |
| 28/02/25 Spain La Liga | Valladolid | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Las Palmas |
| 07/12/24 Spain La Liga | Las Palmas | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Valladolid |
| 19/03/22 Spain Segunda | Valladolid | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Las Palmas |
| 15/12/21 Spain Copa del Rey | Valladolid | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Las Palmas |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Castellon | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 2 | Eibar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Girona | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Mallorca | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Almeria | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 6 | Sabadell | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Burgos | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Leganes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | Tenerife | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
| 10 | Sporting Gijon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 12 | Oviedo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 13 | Granada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | Real Sociedad B | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
| 15 | Celta Fortuna | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 16 | FC Andorra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 6 |
| 17 | Cordoba | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 18 | Eldense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 5 |
| 19 | Valladolid | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 5 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 4 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 4 |
| 22 | Albacete | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Las Palmas | Valladolid |
|---|---|---|
| Eibar | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Cadiz | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| AD Ceuta FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo A Coruna | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Las Palmas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Las Palmas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Valladolid
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 20/09 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 23/08 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo A Coruna Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Racing Santander Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Las Palmas win (56%). Probabilities: Las Palmas 56%, draw 27%, Valladolid 18%.
How many goals are expected in Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Las Palmas 1.65 · Valladolid 0.83), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Las Palmas vs Valladolid?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.