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Football · Spain Segunda · 11/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Andorra vs CD Castellon

Team pages: FC Andorra · CD Castellon

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
FC Andorra1.3
CD Castellon1.57
1X2
30% 28% 42%
FC Andorra Draw CD Castellon
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Andorra 2-1-7 (W-D-L)
LLWLLLLLWD
CD Castellon 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
DLWDWWWWWD
Head-to-head
FC Andorra 2–3 CD Castellon (5 last)
  • CD Castellon2-0FC Andorra
  • FC Andorra1-3CD Castellon
  • FC Andorra1-0CD Castellon
  • CD Castellon1-3FC Andorra
  • CD Castellon3-1FC Andorra
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Andorra 1434 · CD Castellon 1567
FC AndorraDrawCD Castellon
Our model30%27%43%
Market29%29%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Castellon (rating 1434 vs 1567).
  • H2H favours CD Castellon: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FC AndorraCD Castellon
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 1.81.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.70.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 42.9 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.24.9 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Andorra 2–0–3 CD Castellon

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/02/26
Spain Segunda
CD Castellon2-0
HT 2-0
FC Andorra
22/11/25
Spain Segunda
FC Andorra1-3
HT 0-1
CD Castellon
26/03/22
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
FC Andorra1-0
HT 1-0
CD Castellon
11/12/21
Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
CD Castellon1-3
HT 1-1
FC Andorra
08/12/19
Spain Segunda B Group 3
CD Castellon3-1
HT 1-1
FC Andorra

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Eibar 8701 18721
2 CD Castellon 8620 15320
3 Almeria 8602 13518
4 Girona 8422 14814
5 Mallorca 8422 8314
6 Burgos 8422 12914
7 Sabadell 8341 8613
8 Sporting Gijon 8413 8813
9 Granada 8323 131311
10 Oviedo 8323 8811
11 Las Palmas 8323 121311
12 Tenerife 8323 101211
13 Leganes 8323 61111
14 Valladolid 8233 8119
15 Cordoba 8305 13189
16 Real Sociedad B 8224 11138
17 Eldense 8224 8108
18 Celta Fortuna 8224 10148
19 Cadiz 8143 11107
20 FC Andorra 8215 12157
21 AD Ceuta FC 8125 7185
22 Albacete 8017 5151

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFC AndorraCD Castellon
Sabadell 0-0 D 0-0 D
Real Sociedad B 1-3 L 1-0 W
Celta Fortuna 2-4 L 2-1 W
AD Ceuta FC 5-1 W 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CD Castellon (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Andorra

LLWLLLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Sabadell
Spain Segunda
 0-0 0-0 07 D
26/09 Granada
Spain Segunda
 2-0 3-2 410 W
19/09 Sporting Gijon
Spain Segunda
 0-1 1-3 84 L
12/09 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
 0-3 1-3 76 L
05/09 Valladolid
Spain Segunda
 0-1 0-1 46 L
30/08 Eibar
Spain Segunda
 0-0 0-1 72 L
24/08 Celta Fortuna
Spain Segunda
 0-0 2-4 47 L
15/08 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
 1-0 5-1 24 W
31/05 Burgos
Spain Segunda
 0-1 0-1 24 L
24/05 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
 0-1 0-2 210 L

CD Castellon

DLWDWWWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
 1-0 1-1 34 D
28/09 Leganes
Spain Segunda
 1-0 2-0 38 W
19/09 Tenerife
Spain Segunda
 3-0 5-0 02 W
12/09 Girona
Spain Segunda
 0-1 2-1 117 W
06/09 Albacete
Spain Segunda
 0-0 2-0 72 W
31/08 Celta Fortuna
Spain Segunda
 1-0 2-1 34 W
23/08 Sabadell
Spain Segunda
 0-0 0-0 57 D
14/08 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
 1-0 1-0 86 W
09/06 Almeria
Spain Segunda
 0-1 2-3 75 L
06/06 Almeria
Spain Segunda
 1-0 1-1 86 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Andorra vs CD Castellon?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Castellon win (42%). Probabilities: FC Andorra 30%, draw 28%, CD Castellon 42%.

How many goals are expected in FC Andorra vs CD Castellon?

The model expects 2.87 goals (FC Andorra 1.3 · CD Castellon 1.57), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Andorra vs CD Castellon?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.