Prediction: Burgos vs Granada
- Granada0-1Burgos
- Burgos1-1Granada
- Granada0-0Burgos
- Burgos2-2Granada
- Burgos1-3Granada
- Granada1-0Burgos
| Burgos | Draw | Granada | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 30% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Burgos (rating 1552 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Granada: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Burgos | Granada | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.9 | 1.9 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Burgos 1–3–2 Granada
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Spain Segunda | Granada | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Burgos |
| 22/09/25 Spain Segunda | Burgos | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Granada |
| 10/01/25 Spain Segunda | Granada | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Burgos |
| 29/09/24 Spain Segunda | Burgos | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Granada |
| 04/03/23 Spain Segunda | Burgos | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Granada |
| 11/12/22 Spain Segunda | Granada | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Burgos |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta Fortuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Burgos | Granada |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Real Sociedad B | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Sporting Gijon | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Cordoba | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| FC Andorra | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Granada (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Burgos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/09 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
2-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 6 | W |
Granada
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 2-3 | 14 | 10 | L |
| 20/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 30/05 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Mirandes Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Burgos vs Granada?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Burgos win (39%). Probabilities: Burgos 39%, draw 30%, Granada 31%.
How many goals are expected in Burgos vs Granada?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Burgos 1.31 · Granada 1.17), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Burgos vs Granada?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.