Prediction: Almeria vs Leganes
- Almeria2-1Leganes
- Leganes0-3Almeria
- Almeria2-3Leganes
- Leganes2-2Almeria
- Almeria1-0Leganes
- Almeria1-1Leganes
| Almeria | Draw | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 26% | 17% |
| Market | 59% | 24% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almeria (rating 1595 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Almeria: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almeria | Leganes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almeria 3–2–1 Leganes
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Leganes |
| 22/11/25 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Almeria |
| 15/01/25 Spain Copa del Rey | Almeria | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Leganes |
| 29/05/22 Spain Segunda | Leganes | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Almeria |
| 29/10/21 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Leganes |
| 27/03/21 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Leganes |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 20 |
| 3 | Almeria | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Burgos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Sabadell | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Sporting Gijon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Granada | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 |
| 14 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 8 |
| 17 | Eldense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Celta Fortuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 19 | Cadiz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almeria | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| Cadiz | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Tenerife | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Eldense | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Almeria (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almeria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
Leganes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 28/09 | CD Castellon Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Granada Spain Segunda |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 13/09 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/09 | Las Palmas Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Oviedo Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Mirandes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almeria vs Leganes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Almeria win (58%). Probabilities: Almeria 58%, draw 25%, Leganes 17%.
How many goals are expected in Almeria vs Leganes?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Almeria 1.75 · Leganes 0.84), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Almeria vs Leganes?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.