Football · Spain Segunda · 17/10, 21:00
Prediction: Las Palmas vs CD Castellon
Team pages: Las Palmas · CD Castellon
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.6Total
Las Palmas1.3
CD Castellon1.31
1X2
Las Palmas
Draw
CD Castellon
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Las Palmas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
CD Castellon
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Las Palmas
2–1–2
CD Castellon
(5 last)
- Las Palmas1-1CD Castellon
- CD Castellon1-0Las Palmas
- CD Castellon4-0Las Palmas
- Las Palmas2-1CD Castellon
- CD Castellon0-2Las Palmas
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Castellon (rating 1488 vs 1545).
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Las Palmas | CD Castellon | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 2.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Las Palmas 2–1–2 CD Castellon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Spain Segunda | Las Palmas | 1-1 HT 1-0 | CD Castellon |
| 30/11/25 Spain Segunda | CD Castellon | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Las Palmas |
| 27/02/21 Spain Segunda | CD Castellon | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Las Palmas |
| 21/10/20 Spain Segunda | Las Palmas | 2-1 HT 0-0 | CD Castellon |
| 17/12/19 Spain Copa del Rey | CD Castellon | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Las Palmas |
Standings · Spain Segunda
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eibar | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 3 | CD Castellon | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
| 4 | Mallorca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 8 | Burgos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 14 |
| 9 | Granada | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
| 12 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 13 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 14 | Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 11 |
| 15 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 18 | Cordoba | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 9 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 8 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Las Palmas | CD Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Girona | 2-5 L | 2-1 W |
| AD Ceuta FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Albacete | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Castellon (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Las Palmas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 27/09 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 20/09 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-5 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 10/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 07/06 | Malaga Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
CD Castellon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FC Andorra Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 04/10 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/09 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/09 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
3-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Girona Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 31/08 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 14/08 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/06 | Almeria Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Las Palmas vs CD Castellon?
According to our model, the most likely result is an CD Castellon win (36%). Probabilities: Las Palmas 35%, draw 29%, CD Castellon 36%.
How many goals are expected in Las Palmas vs CD Castellon?
The model expects 2.6 goals (Las Palmas 1.3 · CD Castellon 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Las Palmas vs CD Castellon?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.