Football · Spain Segunda · 25/10, 16:15

Prediction: Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC

Team pages: Cadiz · AD Ceuta FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Cadiz1.63

AD Ceuta FC1.08

1X2

49% 27% 24%

Cadiz Draw AD Ceuta FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cadiz 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

DDDLLLDWLL

AD Ceuta FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDWDLL

Head-to-head

Cadiz 0–1–3 AD Ceuta FC (4 last)

Cadiz1-3AD Ceuta FC
AD Ceuta FC2-1Cadiz
Cadiz0-0AD Ceuta FC
Cadiz0-3AD Ceuta FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cadiz 1435 · AD Ceuta FC 1437

	Cadiz	Draw	AD Ceuta FC
Our model	49%	27%	24%
Market	49%	27%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AD Ceuta FC: 3-1-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cadiz	AD Ceuta FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.3	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.7	2.4 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0	5.1 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 08:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.91▲	Bet365 1.91
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.50 → 3.90▼	Pinn 4.14 ★

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +3’	1.73	3.50	4.50
19:14 +20’	1.75▲	3.50	4.33▼
02:18 +4’	1.85▲	3.40▼	3.80▼
13:18 +4’	1.85	3.40	3.90▲
08:11 +7’	1.91▲	3.50▲	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:11 +9’	1.90	3.49	4.18
10:03 +10’	1.88▼	3.52▲	4.24▲
17:18 +5’	1.85▼	3.55▲	4.31▲
13:12 +10’	1.91▲	3.48▼	4.14▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cadiz 0–1–3 AD Ceuta FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/07/26 Europe Friendlies	Cadiz	1-3 HT 1-2	AD Ceuta FC
28/03/26 Spain Segunda	AD Ceuta FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Cadiz
28/09/25 Spain Segunda	Cadiz	0-0 HT 0-0	AD Ceuta FC
02/08/25 Europe Friendlies	Cadiz	0-3 HT 0-0	AD Ceuta FC

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20	7	24
2	CD Castellon	10	7	2	1	18	4	23
3	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20	11	22
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11	9	19
5	Girona	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
6	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12	5	18
7	Granada	10	5	2	3	16	13	17
8	Burgos	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
8	Oviedo	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
10	Sabadell	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
11	Eldense	10	4	2	4	13	13	14
12	Tenerife	10	3	4	3	12	14	13
13	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
14	Celta Fortuna	10	3	3	4	15	16	12
15	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15	20	12
16	Las Palmas	10	3	2	5	13	19	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6	15	11
18	FC Andorra	10	3	1	6	13	17	10
19	Real Sociedad B	10	2	2	6	14	21	8
20	Cadiz	10	1	4	5	11	13	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	10	1	2	7	9	22	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6	22	1

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cadiz	AD Ceuta FC
Las Palmas	0-1 L	0-2 L
Valladolid	1-1 D	1-1 D
Celta Fortuna	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cadiz (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cadiz

DDDLLLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Granada Spain Segunda	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
11/10	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	8	3	L
03/10	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-0	4-0	5	5	W
26/09	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	2	4	D
19/09	Girona Spain Segunda	0-2	1-2	2	7	L
12/09	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	4	L
06/09	Almeria Spain Segunda	1-3	2-3	4	4	L
30/08	Valladolid Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	4	7	D
22/08	Eldense Spain Segunda	0-0	2-2	3	5	D
15/08	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	6	7	D

AD Ceuta FC

LLLLLDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Oviedo Spain Segunda	0-1	1-2	13	7	L
10/10	Sabadell Spain Segunda	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
04/10	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
26/09	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	3-1	9	9	W
20/09	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	8	D
11/09	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-1	1-3	7	5	L
05/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	8	8	L
30/08	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-1	0-3	3	5	L
22/08	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
15/08	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-1	1-5	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cadiz win (49%). Probabilities: Cadiz 49%, draw 27%, AD Ceuta FC 24%.

How many goals are expected in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Cadiz 1.63 · AD Ceuta FC 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.