Football · Spain Segunda · 24/10, 21:00
Prediction: Almeria vs Oviedo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Almeria1.65
Oviedo0.95
1X2
Almeria
Draw
Oviedo
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Almeria
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Oviedo
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Almeria
1–2–3
Oviedo
(6 last)
- Oviedo1-1Almeria
- Almeria1-2Oviedo
- Almeria1-1Oviedo
- Oviedo3-2Almeria
- Oviedo2-0Almeria
- Almeria2-1Oviedo
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almeria (rating 1581 vs 1531).
- H2H favours Oviedo: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Almeria | Oviedo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.7 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 2.3 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.1 | 5.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Almeria 1–2–3 Oviedo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/25 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Almeria |
| 07/06/25 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Oviedo |
| 01/02/25 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Oviedo |
| 13/10/24 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Almeria |
| 29/01/22 Spain Segunda | Oviedo | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Almeria |
| 20/08/21 Spain Segunda | Almeria | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Oviedo |
Standings · Spain Segunda
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 7 | 24 |
| 2 | CD Castellon | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 23 |
| 3 | Eibar | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Sporting Gijon | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 19 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Granada | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 17 |
| 7 | Oviedo | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 17 |
| 8 | Sabadell | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 16 |
| 9 | Girona | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 15 |
| 10 | Burgos | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Valladolid | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 12 |
| 13 | Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 20 | 12 |
| 14 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
| 15 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 17 | Leganes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 11 |
| 18 | FC Andorra | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 10 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad B | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 8 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 5 |
| 22 | Albacete | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Almeria | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Burgos | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Sabadell | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Eldense | 3-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Almeria (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Almeria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 11/10 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 27/09 | Mallorca Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 20/09 | Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 12/09 | Cordoba Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 10 | W |
| 06/09 | Cadiz Spain Segunda |
3-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Tenerife Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
3-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
Oviedo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 12/10 | Eibar Spain Segunda |
2-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 02/10 | Eldense Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 27/09 | Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 11 | W |
| 20/09 | Sabadell Spain Segunda |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 13/09 | Valladolid Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Burgos Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 29/08 | Albacete Spain Segunda |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Leganes Spain Segunda |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Granada Spain Segunda |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Almeria vs Oviedo?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Almeria win (53%). Probabilities: Almeria 53%, draw 27%, Oviedo 20%.
How many goals are expected in Almeria vs Oviedo?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Almeria 1.65 · Oviedo 0.95), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Almeria vs Oviedo?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.