Football · Spain Segunda · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Sabadell vs Tenerife

Team pages: Sabadell · Tenerife

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.28Total

Sabadell1.42

Tenerife0.86

1X2

49% 29% 22%

Sabadell Draw Tenerife

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sabadell 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWLWDDWL

Tenerife 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLDLDD

Head-to-head

Sabadell 1–3 Tenerife (4 last)

Sabadell0-2Tenerife
Tenerife1-2Sabadell
Sabadell1-3Tenerife
Tenerife1-0Sabadell

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sabadell 1544 · Tenerife 1505

	Sabadell	Draw	Tenerife
Our model	49%	30%	21%
Market	49%	29%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tenerife: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sabadell	Tenerife
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/70/10%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.3	2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.20

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 08:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.22
2	4.20 → 4.33▲	Pinn 4.56 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.7% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:13 +5’	1.91	3.10	4.20
08:11 +5’	1.91	3.20▲	4.33▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:48 +41’	1.95	3.13	4.32
21:43 +37’	1.97▲	3.16▲	4.39▲
23:03 +12’	1.92▼	3.21▲	4.56▲
10:07 +10’	1.91▼	3.22▲	4.56

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sabadell 1–0–3 Tenerife

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/21 Spain Segunda	Sabadell	0-2 HT 0-1	Tenerife
03/12/20 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	1-2 HT 1-2	Sabadell
20/05/15 Spain Segunda	Sabadell	1-3 HT 0-3	Tenerife
20/12/14 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	1-0 HT 1-0	Sabadell

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Almeria	10	8	0	2	20	7	24
2	CD Castellon	10	7	2	1	18	4	23
3	Eibar	10	7	1	2	20	11	22
4	Sporting Gijon	10	6	1	3	11	9	19
5	Girona	10	5	3	2	17	9	18
6	Mallorca	10	5	3	2	12	5	18
7	Granada	10	5	2	3	16	13	17
8	Burgos	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
8	Oviedo	10	5	2	3	13	10	17
10	Sabadell	10	4	4	2	10	8	16
11	Eldense	10	4	2	4	13	13	14
12	Tenerife	10	3	4	3	12	14	13
13	Valladolid	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
14	Celta Fortuna	10	3	3	4	15	16	12
15	Cordoba	10	4	0	6	15	20	12
16	Las Palmas	10	3	2	5	13	19	11
17	Leganes	10	3	2	5	6	15	11
18	FC Andorra	10	3	1	6	13	17	10
19	Real Sociedad B	10	2	2	6	14	21	8
20	Cadiz	10	1	4	5	11	13	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	10	1	2	7	9	22	5
22	Albacete	10	0	1	9	6	22	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sabadell	Tenerife
Celta Fortuna	1-1 D	1-1 D
Cordoba	3-2 W	2-3 L
Almeria	1-0 W	1-0 W
CD Castellon	0-0 D	0-5 L
Sporting Gijon	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sabadell (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sabadell

DDWWLWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
10/10	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	1-1	2-1	3	5	W
04/10	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
26/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	7	6	D
20/09	Oviedo Spain Segunda	2-0	3-1	4	4	W
13/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
07/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	2-1	3-2	3	5	W
29/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
23/08	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
17/08	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	8	4	D

Tenerife

WWLDWLDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
12/10	Girona Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
05/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	1-2	2-3	8	11	L
26/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
19/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-3	0-5	5	2	L
13/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
05/09	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
28/08	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
23/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
16/08	Eibar Spain Segunda	2-1	3-1	3	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sabadell vs Tenerife?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sabadell win (49%). Probabilities: Sabadell 49%, draw 29%, Tenerife 22%.

How many goals are expected in Sabadell vs Tenerife?

The model expects 2.28 goals (Sabadell 1.42 · Tenerife 0.86), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Sabadell vs Tenerife?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.