Football · Spain Segunda · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Real Sociedad B vs Almeria

Team pages: Real Sociedad B · Almeria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Real Sociedad B1.24

Almeria1.87

1X2

24% 25% 51%

Real Sociedad B Draw Almeria

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Sociedad B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWDDWLLLL

Almeria 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWLLWWWWWW

Head-to-head

Real Sociedad B 0–1–3 Almeria (4 last)

Almeria5-1Real Sociedad B
Real Sociedad B2-2Almeria
Real Sociedad B0-2Almeria
Almeria3-1Real Sociedad B

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Almeria (rating 1437 vs 1587).
H2H favours Almeria: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Sociedad B	Almeria
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.7 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.52.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:12

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.40
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.50
2	2.12 → 2.12	Pinn 2.12

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +41’	3.40	3.50	2.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Sociedad B 0–1–3 Almeria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Spain Segunda	Almeria	5-1 HT 2-0	Real Sociedad B
29/08/25 Spain Segunda	Real Sociedad B	2-2 HT 1-1	Almeria
13/05/22 Spain Segunda	Real Sociedad B	0-2 HT 0-1	Almeria
21/10/21 Spain Segunda	Almeria	3-1 HT 1-1	Real Sociedad B

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Eibar	8	7	0	1	18	7	21
2	CD Castellon	8	6	2	0	15	3	20
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13	5	18
4	Sabadell	9	4	4	1	10	7	16
5	Girona	8	4	2	2	14	8	14
6	Mallorca	8	4	2	2	8	3	14
7	Burgos	8	4	2	2	12	9	14
8	Sporting Gijon	8	4	1	3	8	8	13
9	Granada	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
10	Oviedo	8	3	2	3	8	8	11
11	Celta Fortuna	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
12	Las Palmas	8	3	2	3	12	13	11
13	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10	11	11
14	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	10	12	11
15	Leganes	8	3	2	3	6	11	11
16	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	8	11	9
17	Cordoba	9	3	0	6	14	20	9
18	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12	17	8
19	Cadiz	8	1	4	3	11	10	7
20	FC Andorra	8	2	1	5	12	15	7
21	AD Ceuta FC	9	1	2	6	8	20	5
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5	15	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Sociedad B	Almeria
Celta Fortuna	1-4 L	2-0 W
Mallorca	0-1 L	1-0 W
Tenerife	1-1 D	0-1 L
Burgos	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Almeria (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Sociedad B

DLWDDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-3	1-4	10	6	L
04/10	Granada Spain Segunda	2-0	2-3	1	5	L
26/09	AD Ceuta FC Spain Segunda	0-0	1-3	2	9	L
19/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
12/09	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	3-0	3-1	2	6	W
05/09	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	2	6	D
31/08	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-1	2-2	4	3	D
22/08	Albacete Spain Segunda	2-0	2-1	6	2	W
14/08	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
30/05	Cultural Leonesa Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	6	1	D

Almeria

LWLLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Leganes Spain Segunda	0-0	3-0	8	7	W
03/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	0-1	2-1	8	5	W
27/09	Mallorca Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	2	9	W
20/09	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	2	1	W
12/09	Cordoba Spain Segunda	0-0	2-0	0	10	W
06/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	3-1	3-2	3	4	W
29/08	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
23/08	Tenerife Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	7	2	L
17/08	Eldense Spain Segunda	3-0	3-0	7	4	W
20/06	Malaga Spain Segunda	0-0	1-2	7	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Sociedad B vs Almeria?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Almeria win (51%). Probabilities: Real Sociedad B 24%, draw 25%, Almeria 51%.

How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad B vs Almeria?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Real Sociedad B 1.24 · Almeria 1.87), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad B vs Almeria?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.