Football · Spain Segunda · 01/11, 21:00

Prediction: Tenerife vs FC Andorra

Team pages: Tenerife · FC Andorra

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.56Total

Tenerife1.44

FC Andorra1.12

1X2

43% 29% 28%

Tenerife Draw FC Andorra

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Tenerife 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDLDDD

FC Andorra 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLWDWLL

Head-to-head

Tenerife 1–2–1 FC Andorra (4 last)

Tenerife0-0FC Andorra
FC Andorra0-1Tenerife
FC Andorra1-0Tenerife
Tenerife1-1FC Andorra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tenerife 1495 · FC Andorra 1447

	Tenerife	Draw	FC Andorra
Our model	43%	29%	28%
Market	43%	29%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.56 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tenerife (rating 1495 vs 1447).
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tenerife	FC Andorra
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	1.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.20

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 22:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.16
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.33
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.48 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:30 +1’	2.15	3.20	3.30
06:17 +5’	2.25▲	3.20	3.20▼
20:31 +6’	2.20▼	3.20	3.25▲
22:46 +9’	2.15▼	3.20	3.30▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:12 +21’	2.21	3.25	3.33
22:06 +20’	2.23▲	3.29▲	3.37▲
10:17 +5’	2.32▲	3.26▼	3.21▼
09:23 +1’	2.25▼	3.28▲	3.32▲
20:27 +10’	2.21▼	3.30▲	3.40▲
22:18 +37’	2.16▼	3.33▲	3.48▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Tenerife 1–2–1 FC Andorra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/02/24 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Andorra
03/09/23 Spain Segunda	FC Andorra	0-1 HT 0-0	Tenerife
14/05/23 Spain Segunda	FC Andorra	1-0 HT 0-0	Tenerife
16/12/22 Spain Segunda	Tenerife	1-1 HT 1-1	FC Andorra

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CD Castellon	11	8	2	1	22	4	26
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22	9	25
3	Eibar	11	7	1	3	20	13	22
4	Girona	11	6	3	2	22	10	21
5	Granada	11	6	2	3	18	14	20
6	Burgos	11	6	2	3	16	12	20
7	Mallorca	11	5	4	2	13	6	19
8	Sporting Gijon	11	6	1	4	11	13	19
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15	12	18
10	Sabadell	11	4	5	2	11	9	17
11	Cordoba	11	5	0	6	17	20	15
12	Eldense	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
12	Tenerife	11	3	5	3	13	15	14
14	Las Palmas	11	4	2	5	14	19	14
15	Valladolid	11	3	3	5	16	16	12
16	Celta Fortuna	11	3	3	5	16	21	12
17	Leganes	11	3	3	5	7	16	12
18	Cadiz	11	2	4	5	14	14	10
19	FC Andorra	11	3	1	7	15	20	10
20	Real Sociedad B	11	2	2	7	14	22	8
21	AD Ceuta FC	11	1	2	8	10	25	5
22	Albacete	11	1	1	9	8	22	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tenerife	FC Andorra
Sabadell	1-1 D	0-0 D
Celta Fortuna	1-1 D	2-4 L
Girona	1-1 D	0-2 L
CD Castellon	0-5 L	1-0 W
Real Sociedad B	1-1 D	1-3 L
Sporting Gijon	0-1 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Tenerife (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tenerife

WLDWLDLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	5	8	D
19/10	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
12/10	Girona Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	6	7	D
05/10	Cordoba Spain Segunda	1-2	2-3	8	11	L
26/09	Cadiz Spain Segunda	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
19/09	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	0-3	0-5	5	2	L
13/09	Leganes Spain Segunda	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
05/09	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
28/08	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
23/08	Almeria Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	5	2	W

FC Andorra

LLLLLWDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Burgos Spain Segunda	2-3	2-3	7	2	L
18/10	Girona Spain Segunda	0-2	0-2	6	4	L
11/10	CD Castellon Spain Segunda	1-0	1-0	4	6	W
04/10	Sabadell Spain Segunda	0-0	0-0	0	7	D
26/09	Granada Spain Segunda	2-0	3-2	4	10	W
19/09	Sporting Gijon Spain Segunda	0-1	1-3	8	4	L
12/09	Real Sociedad B Spain Segunda	0-3	1-3	7	6	L
05/09	Valladolid Spain Segunda	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
30/08	Eibar Spain Segunda	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
24/08	Celta Fortuna Spain Segunda	0-0	2-4	4	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tenerife vs FC Andorra?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tenerife win (43%). Probabilities: Tenerife 43%, draw 29%, FC Andorra 28%.

How many goals are expected in Tenerife vs FC Andorra?

The model expects 2.56 goals (Tenerife 1.44 · FC Andorra 1.12), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tenerife vs FC Andorra?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.