Football · Spain Segunda · 02/11, 21:00

Prediction: Mallorca vs Cadiz

Team pages: Mallorca · Cadiz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Mallorca1.69
Cadiz0.69
1X2
61% 25% 14%
Mallorca Draw Cadiz
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Mallorca 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
LWDWWLDWDD
Cadiz 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDLLLDWLLW
Head-to-head
Mallorca 2–3–1 Cadiz (6 last)
  • Cadiz1-1Mallorca
  • Mallorca1-1Cadiz
  • Mallorca1-0Cadiz
  • Cadiz2-0Mallorca
  • Mallorca2-1Cadiz
  • Cadiz1-1Mallorca
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mallorca 1534 · Cadiz 1466
MallorcaDrawCadiz
Our model61%26%14%
Market62%24%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mallorca (rating 1534 vs 1466).
  • H2H favours Mallorca: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MallorcaCadiz
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.61.4 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.20.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.2 / 4.91.1 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.14.9 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Mallorca 2–3–1 Cadiz

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/04/24
Spain La Liga
Cadiz1-1
HT 0-1
Mallorca
29/11/23
Spain La Liga
Mallorca1-1
HT 1-1
Cadiz
12/05/23
Spain La Liga
Mallorca1-0
HT 1-0
Cadiz
28/01/23
Spain La Liga
Cadiz2-0
HT 2-0
Mallorca
05/02/22
Spain La Liga
Mallorca2-1
HT 1-1
Cadiz
31/10/21
Spain La Liga
Cadiz1-1
HT 0-1
Mallorca

Standings · Spain Segunda

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 CD Castellon 11821 22426
2 Almeria 11812 22925
3 Eibar 11713 201322
4 Girona 11632 221021
5 Granada 11623 181420
6 Burgos 11623 161220
7 Mallorca 11542 13619
8 Sporting Gijon 11614 111319
9 Oviedo 11533 151218
10 Sabadell 11452 11917
11 Cordoba 11506 172015
12 Eldense 11425 131514
12 Tenerife 11353 131514
14 Las Palmas 11425 141914
15 Valladolid 11335 161612
16 Celta Fortuna 11335 162112
17 Leganes 11335 71612
18 Cadiz 11245 141410
19 FC Andorra 11317 152010
20 Real Sociedad B 11227 14228
21 AD Ceuta FC 11128 10255
22 Albacete 11119 8224

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMallorcaCadiz
Leganes 1-1 D 4-0 W
Las Palmas 3-1 W 0-1 L
Girona 0-0 D 1-2 L
Almeria 0-1 L 2-3 L
Eldense 0-0 D 2-2 D
AD Ceuta FC 3-0 W 3-1 W
Granada 0-2 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 2 W 3 D 2 L 2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Mallorca (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mallorca

LWDWWLDWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/10 Leganes
Spain Segunda
1-0 1-1 49 D
17/10 Eibar
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-1 75 D
11/10 Las Palmas
Spain Segunda
1-0 3-1 74 W
04/10 Girona
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-0 75 D
27/09 Almeria
Spain Segunda
0-1 0-1 69 L
19/09 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
0-0 1-0 35 W
13/09 Sabadell
Spain Segunda
2-0 2-0 33 W
05/09 Eldense
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-0 84 D
30/08 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
1-0 3-0 35 W
24/08 Granada
Spain Segunda
0-1 0-2 15 L

Cadiz

DDLLLDWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/10 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
0-1 3-1 37 W
18/10 Granada
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-2 63 L
11/10 Sporting Gijon
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-1 83 L
03/10 Leganes
Spain Segunda
1-0 4-0 55 W
26/09 Tenerife
Spain Segunda
0-1 1-1 24 D
19/09 Girona
Spain Segunda
0-2 1-2 27 L
12/09 Las Palmas
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-1 74 L
06/09 Almeria
Spain Segunda
1-3 2-3 44 L
30/08 Valladolid
Spain Segunda
1-1 1-1 47 D
22/08 Eldense
Spain Segunda
0-0 2-2 35 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mallorca vs Cadiz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Mallorca win (61%). Probabilities: Mallorca 61%, draw 25%, Cadiz 14%.

How many goals are expected in Mallorca vs Cadiz?

The model expects 2.38 goals (Mallorca 1.69 · Cadiz 0.69), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Mallorca vs Cadiz?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.