Prediction: Trem AP vs America RN
Expected goals: 2.25 (Trem AP 0.79 · America RN 1.46). The model gives 20% home, 28% draw, 52% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 0-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Trem AP sits at 6-0-4 (W-D-L), while America RN arrives on a 6-3-1 run.
| Trem AP | Draw | America RN | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 29% | 52% |
| Market | 20% | 28% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours America RN (rating 1520 vs 1570).
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trem AP | America RN | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.4 | 1.5 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 3.8 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A8
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
| 3 | Maguary PE | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Central SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sousa EC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trem AP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Sampaio Correa Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 21/06 | Sampaio Correa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Aguia de Maraba Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Tuna Luso Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Tocantinopolis EC Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Oratorio RC Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Imperatriz Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 05/05 | Imperatriz Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Paysandu Brazil Copa Norte |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Oratorio RC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
America RN
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Fluminense PI Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Fluminense PI Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Sousa EC Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Central SC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | ABC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 5-0 | 14 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Maguary PE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Maguary PE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | D |
| 30/04 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trem AP vs America RN?
According to our model, the most likely result is an America RN win (52%). Probabilities: Trem AP 20%, draw 28%, America RN 52%.
How many goals are expected in Trem AP vs America RN?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Trem AP 0.79 · America RN 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trem AP vs America RN?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.