Prediction: Cianorte vs XV Piracicaba
Expected goals: 1.9 (Cianorte 1.12 · XV Piracicaba 0.78). The model gives 43% home, 32% draw, 25% away. Under 2 goals (55%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Cianorte is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and XV Piracicaba 4-5-1 over its own.
| Cianorte | Draw | XV Piracicaba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 34% | 24% |
| Market | 44% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cianorte | XV Piracicaba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 4 / 6.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.6 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.4 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A15
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santa Catarina | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Cianorte | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | FC Cascavel | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 15 |
| 5 | Joinville | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarany de Bage | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cianorte
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Sao Joseense Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 8 | L |
| 20/06 | Sao Joseense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Guarany de Bage Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 23/05 | Joinville Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | FC Cascavel Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 12 | 6 | L |
| 07/05 | America MG Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | Sao Luiz Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
3-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
XV Piracicaba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Nova Iguacu Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 30/05 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 24/05 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | Sampaio Correa RJ Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Marica RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Velo Clube SP Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cianorte vs XV Piracicaba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cianorte win (43%). Probabilities: Cianorte 43%, draw 32%, XV Piracicaba 25%.
How many goals are expected in Cianorte vs XV Piracicaba?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Cianorte 1.12 · XV Piracicaba 0.78), with a 55% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Cianorte vs XV Piracicaba?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.