Football · Brazil Serie D · 04/07, 22:00

Prediction: Betim FC vs CSA

Expected goals: 2.41 (Betim FC 1.22 · CSA 1.2). The model gives 35% home, 30% draw, 34% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves Betim FC with 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; CSA has piled up 5-4-1 in the same span.

35%1
35% 30% 34%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Betim FC 1506 · CSA 1563
Betim FCDrawCSA
Our model35%30%34%
Market35%30%34%
Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.41Betim FC 1.22 · CSA 1.2
Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 50%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSA (rating 1506 vs 1563).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Betim FCCSA
Goals for / against (FT)1.2 / 0.92.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.20.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 42.9 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 06 / 0.2

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Uberlandia 10532 12818
2 Betim FC 10433 12915
3 CRAC 10343 7713
4 Ivinhema 10343 91213
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 10334 8912
6 Operario FC MS 10235 9129

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Betim FC

WLLDDWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Vitoria ES
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 33 W
20/06 Vitoria ES
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-1 22 L
14/06 Operario FC MS
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-1 15 W
30/05 ABECAT Ouvidorense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-2 96 L
23/05 Ivinhema
Brazil Serie D
2-0 3-0 14 W
19/05 Uberlandia
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 26 D
09/05 CRAC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 64 D
03/05 CRAC
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-1 33 L
25/04 Uberlandia
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-2 58 L
19/04 Ivinhema
Brazil Serie D
1-0 3-1 82 W

CSA

LDWWWDDWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Lagarto
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-0 86 W
21/06 Lagarto
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 53 D
14/06 Atletico Alagoinhas
Brazil Serie D
2-0 7-1 W
31/05 Jacuipense
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 126 D
23/05 ASA
Brazil Serie D
1-1 1-1 97 D
17/05 CSE
Brazil Serie D
1-0 5-1 55 W
10/05 Juazeirense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-0 35 W
02/05 Juazeirense
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-0 56 W
25/04 CSE
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-1 88 D
19/04 ASA
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-2 110 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Betim FC vs CSA?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Betim FC win (35%). Probabilities: Betim FC 35%, draw 30%, CSA 34%.

How many goals are expected in Betim FC vs CSA?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Betim FC 1.22 · CSA 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Betim FC vs CSA?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.