Prediction: Maguary PE vs Iguatu
Expected goals: 1.87 (Maguary PE 0.98 · Iguatu 0.89). The model gives 36% home, 33% draw, 31% away. Under 2 goals (54%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.
On recent form, Maguary PE is 3-4-3 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Iguatu 5-5-0 over its own.
| Maguary PE | Draw | Iguatu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 35% | 30% |
| Market | 36% | 32% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Iguatu (rating 1498 vs 1558).
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maguary PE | Iguatu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.4 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.3 | 6.6 / 0.3 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A8
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
| 3 | Maguary PE | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Central SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sousa EC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maguary PE
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Piaui Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Piaui Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | ABC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/06 | Sousa EC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 8 | D |
| 17/05 | Central SC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | America RN Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | America RN Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Central SC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 19/04 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
Iguatu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Tuna Luso Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Tuna Luso Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Sampaio Correa Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Parnahyba Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | IAPE Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Maracanã Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 11 | D |
| 10/05 | Moto Club Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Moto Club Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Maracanã Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | IAPE Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maguary PE win (36%). Probabilities: Maguary PE 36%, draw 33%, Iguatu 31%.
How many goals are expected in Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Maguary PE 0.98 · Iguatu 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Maguary PE vs Iguatu?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.