Football · Brazil Serie D · 04/07, 21:00

Prediction: CRAC vs Treze

Expected goals: 2 (CRAC 1.03 · Treze 0.97). The model gives 35% home, 32% draw, 32% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves CRAC with 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Treze has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In the last 2 head-to-head meetings the record reads 0 wins for CRAC and 1 for Treze, with 1 draw.

35%1
35% 32% 32%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CRAC 1521 · Treze 1532
CRACDrawTreze
Our model35%33%32%
Market36%31%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2CRAC 1.03 · Treze 0.97
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 51%
BTTSNo · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CRACTreze
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 0.61.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.20.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.92.2 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.3 / 0.64.1 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · CRAC 011 Treze

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/09/14
Brazil Serie C
CRAC0-0
HT 0-0
Treze
25/05/14
Brazil Serie C
Treze1-0
HT 1-0
CRAC

Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Uberlandia 10532 12818
2 Betim FC 10433 12915
3 CRAC 10343 7713
4 Ivinhema 10343 91213
5 ABECAT Ouvidorense 10334 8912
6 Operario FC MS 10235 9129

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CRAC

LWWDWDLDWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
27/06 Tombense MG
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 39 D
21/06 Tombense MG
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 35 W
14/06 Ivinhema
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 D
31/05 Operario FC MS
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-2 48 L
24/05 Uberlandia
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 24 D
17/05 ABECAT Ouvidorense
Brazil Serie D
1-1 2-1 114 W
09/05 Betim FC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 14 D
03/05 Betim FC
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 83 W
25/04 ABECAT Ouvidorense
Brazil Serie D
1-0 2-0 41 W
18/04 Uberlandia
Brazil Serie D
0-0 1-2 95 L

Treze

WDWWWLDLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/06 Jacuipense
Brazil Serie D
0-0 0-0 73 D
21/06 Jacuipense
Brazil Serie D
1-0 3-1 65 W
14/06 Retro FC Brasil
Brazil Serie D
0-1 0-3 87 L
06/06 Decisao
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-1 17 D
30/05 Lagarto
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-2 21 L
23/05 CS Sergipe
Brazil Serie D
1-0 1-0 31 W
16/05 Serra Branca EC
Brazil Serie D
0-0 2-1 26 W
10/05 Decisao
Brazil Serie D
2-0 2-0 143 W
25/04 Serra Branca EC
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-1 44 D
19/04 CS Sergipe
Brazil Serie D
3-0 3-1 46 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CRAC vs Treze?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CRAC win (35%). Probabilities: CRAC 35%, draw 32%, Treze 32%.

How many goals are expected in CRAC vs Treze?

The model expects 2 goals (CRAC 1.03 · Treze 0.97), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in CRAC vs Treze?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.