Prediction: Ivinhema vs ASA
Expected goals: 2 (Ivinhema 1.01 · ASA 0.99). The model gives 34% home, 33% draw, 33% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Ivinhema sits at 2-5-3 (W-D-L), while ASA arrives on a 3-5-2 run.
| Ivinhema | Draw | ASA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 34% | 33% |
| Market | 34% | 33% | 33% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ivinhema | ASA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.4 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 6 / 0 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario FC MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ivinhema
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/06 | Democrata GV Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Democrata GV Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | Uberlandia Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 23/05 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 26/04 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
ASA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 13 | D |
| 14/06 | Jacuipense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | CSE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | CSA Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Atletico Alagoinhas Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 07/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Atletico Alagoinhas Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 30/04 | Juazeirense Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ivinhema vs ASA?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ivinhema win (34%). Probabilities: Ivinhema 34%, draw 33%, ASA 33%.
How many goals are expected in Ivinhema vs ASA?
The model expects 2 goals (Ivinhema 1.01 · ASA 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ivinhema vs ASA?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.