Prediction: Luverdense vs Guaporé RO
Expected goals: 2.66 (Luverdense 1.71 · Guaporé RO 0.95). The model gives 54% home, 27% draw, 19% away. Over 2.25 goals (55%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Luverdense with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Guaporé RO has piled up 5-3-2 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Luverdense won 1 and Guaporé RO 0.
| Luverdense | Draw | Guaporé RO | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 26% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 28% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Luverdense | Guaporé RO | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.1 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luverdense 1–0–0 Guaporé RO
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/20 World Club Friendlies | Luverdense | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guaporé RO |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Gama | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Brasiliense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | 14 |
| 4 | Aparecidense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | AC Primavera | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 12 |
| 6 | Inhumas | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 20 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luverdense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Ceilandia Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 20/06 | Ceilandia Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Inhumas Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Brasiliense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Aparecidense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | AC Primavera Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | SE Gama Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 03/05 | SE Gama Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | AC Primavera Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Aparecidense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Guaporé RO
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Monte Roraima Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Independencia Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 31/05 | Araguaina Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Humaita Brazil Serie D |
3-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Galvez AC Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 30/04 | Nacional AM Brazil Copa Norte |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | Humaita Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luverdense vs Guaporé RO?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Luverdense win (54%). Probabilities: Luverdense 54%, draw 27%, Guaporé RO 19%.
How many goals are expected in Luverdense vs Guaporé RO?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Luverdense 1.71 · Guaporé RO 0.95), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Luverdense vs Guaporé RO?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.