Prediction: Serra Branca EC vs Uberlandia
Expected goals: 1.97 (Serra Branca EC 1.13 · Uberlandia 0.84). The model gives 42% home, 31% draw, 26% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Recent form leaves Serra Branca EC with 5 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses over 10 games; Uberlandia has piled up 5-4-1 in the same span.
| Serra Branca EC | Draw | Uberlandia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 26% |
| Market | 43% | 30% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 11.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Serra Branca EC | Uberlandia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 6.6 / 0.2 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A11
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uberlandia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Betim FC | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 15 |
| 3 | CRAC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 4 | Ivinhema | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | ABECAT Ouvidorense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 6 | Operario FC MS | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Serra Branca EC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Juazeirense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | CS Sergipe Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Retro FC Brasil Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 24/05 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 16/05 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Lagarto Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Treze Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Decisao Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Uberlandia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 21/06 | Rio Branco ES Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | ABECAT Ouvidorense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Ivinhema Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 10 | D |
| 24/05 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/05 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Operario FC MS Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | Betim FC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | CRAC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Serra Branca EC vs Uberlandia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Serra Branca EC win (42%). Probabilities: Serra Branca EC 42%, draw 31%, Uberlandia 26%.
How many goals are expected in Serra Branca EC vs Uberlandia?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Serra Branca EC 1.13 · Uberlandia 0.84), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Serra Branca EC vs Uberlandia?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.