Prediction: Sao Jose PA vs Portuguesa RJ
Expected goals: 1.92 (Sao Jose PA 1.11 · Portuguesa RJ 0.81). The model gives 42% home, 32% draw, 26% away. Under 2 goals (54%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Sao Jose PA sits at 3-6-1 (W-D-L), while Portuguesa RJ arrives on a 3-5-2 run.
| Sao Jose PA | Draw | Portuguesa RJ | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 34% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sao Jose PA | Portuguesa RJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.1 | 2.1 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.4 | 6.8 / 0.4 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A16
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blumenau EC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 2 | Marcilio Dias | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Sao Joseense | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Sao Jose PA | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Brasil de Pelotas | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 6 | Azuriz FC | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sao Jose PA
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 21/06 | Santa Catarina Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 07/06 | Blumenau EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 01/06 | Sao Joseense Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Marcilio Dias Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Azuriz FC Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Brasil de Pelotas Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Marcilio Dias Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
Portuguesa RJ
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 21/06 | Noroeste Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Portuguesa Desportos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 31/05 | America RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Madureira RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Pouso Alegre Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | EC Agua Santa Brazil Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Pouso Alegre Brazil Serie D |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 19/04 | Madureira RJ Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 12 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sao Jose PA vs Portuguesa RJ?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sao Jose PA win (42%). Probabilities: Sao Jose PA 42%, draw 32%, Portuguesa RJ 26%.
How many goals are expected in Sao Jose PA vs Portuguesa RJ?
The model expects 1.92 goals (Sao Jose PA 1.11 · Portuguesa RJ 0.81), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Sao Jose PA vs Portuguesa RJ?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.