Prediction: Aguia de Maraba vs ABC
Expected goals: 2.69 (Aguia de Maraba 1.21 · ABC 1.47). The model gives 29% home, 29% draw, 41% away. Over 2.25 goals (53%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Aguia de Maraba is 5-1-4 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and ABC 6-2-2 over its own.
| Aguia de Maraba | Draw | ABC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market | 29% | 30% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aguia de Maraba | ABC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.5 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.6 | 2.4 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 5.7 / 0.4 |
Standings · Brazil Serie D · Brasileiro Serie D 2026, Group A8
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ABC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 2 | America RN | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 21 |
| 3 | Maguary PE | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Central SC | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Sousa EC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 10 |
| 6 | Laguna RN | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 2 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aguia de Maraba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Parnahyba Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 21/06 | Parnahyba Brazil Serie D |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Trem AP Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Tocantinopolis EC Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 24/05 | Imperatriz Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 17/05 | Tuna Luso Brazil Serie D |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Oratorio RC Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/05 | Paysandu Brazil Copa Norte |
1-2 | 1-5 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Oratorio RC Brazil Serie D |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/04 | Porto Velho EC Brazil Copa Norte |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
ABC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | AE Altos Brazil Serie D |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 21/06 | AE Altos Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Maguary PE Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Laguna RN Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 6 | W |
| 28/05 | Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste |
2-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | America RN Brazil Serie D |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 21/05 | Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste |
2-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 16/05 | Sousa EC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | Central SC Brazil Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Juazeirense Brazil Copa Nordeste |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aguia de Maraba vs ABC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an ABC win (41%). Probabilities: Aguia de Maraba 29%, draw 29%, ABC 41%.
How many goals are expected in Aguia de Maraba vs ABC?
The model expects 2.69 goals (Aguia de Maraba 1.21 · ABC 1.47), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Aguia de Maraba vs ABC?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.