Football · Bulgaria Second League · 02/11, 16:30

Prediction: Montana vs Spartak Pleven

Team pages: Montana · Spartak Pleven

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Montana1.71

Spartak Pleven1.05

1X2

52% 26% 22%

Montana Draw Spartak Pleven

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Montana 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLLLLW

Spartak Pleven 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Montana 4–2 Spartak Pleven (6 last)

Montana1-0Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven2-1Montana
Montana1-0Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven0-2Montana
Spartak Pleven0-1Montana
Montana0-2Spartak Pleven

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montana 1448 · Spartak Pleven 1466

	Montana	Draw	Spartak Pleven
Our model	52%	26%	22%
Market	52%	26%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Montana: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montana	Spartak Pleven
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 4	1.8 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.50

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
14:51 +8’	1.73	3.50	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Montana 4–0–2 Spartak Pleven

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/25 Bulgaria Second League	Montana	1-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven
20/09/24 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	2-1 HT 2-0	Montana
02/03/24 Bulgaria Second League	Montana	1-0 HT 1-0	Spartak Pleven
20/08/23 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	0-2 HT 0-0	Montana
08/04/23 Bulgaria B PFG	Spartak Pleven	0-1 HT 0-1	Montana
06/09/22 Bulgaria Second League	Montana	0-2 HT 0-1	Spartak Pleven

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
2	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
3	Vihren Sandanski	14	7	5	2	26	13	26
4	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	14	6	5	3	13	10	23
5	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
6	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
7	Beroe	14	6	3	5	21	18	21
8	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	14	6	2	6	29	24	20
9	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
10	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
11	Marek Dupnitsa	14	5	3	6	16	18	18
12	Ludogorets Razgrad II	12	5	3	4	17	13	18
13	Nesebar	14	5	3	6	22	21	18
14	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14	24	17
15	Montana	13	4	2	7	17	27	14
16	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9	14	11
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	13	2	3	8	13	26	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	14	0	1	13	5	38	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montana	Spartak Pleven
FK Fratria	2-1 W	0-3 L
Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-3 L	1-0 W
Chernomorets Burgas	0-2 L	0-3 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	0-5 L	3-2 W
CSKA Sofia II	0-4 L	1-5 L
Vihren Sandanski	1-4 L	0-2 L
Beroe	0-0 D	0-3 L
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Montana (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montana

WLWDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/10	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
13/10	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-3	1	9	L
27/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
21/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-3	0-5	7	4	L
13/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-4	7	7	L
08/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-4	6	5	L
03/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
30/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
16/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W

Spartak Pleven

LLLLWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
27/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
21/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
07/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	5	10	W
03/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-5	7	3	L
30/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
25/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
16/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montana vs Spartak Pleven?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montana win (52%). Probabilities: Montana 52%, draw 26%, Spartak Pleven 22%.

How many goals are expected in Montana vs Spartak Pleven?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Montana 1.71 · Spartak Pleven 1.05), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Montana vs Spartak Pleven?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.