Football · Bulgaria Second League · 09/11, 16:00

Prediction: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Montana

Team pages: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo · Montana

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.98

Montana1.46

1X2

48% 24% 27%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Draw Montana

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLWLW

Montana 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLLWL

Head-to-head

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4–1–1 Montana (6 last)

Montana0-2Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-0Montana
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo2-0Montana
Montana0-1Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-2Montana
Montana0-2Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1476 · Montana 1429

	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	Draw	Montana
Our model	49%	24%	28%
Market	48%	25%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (rating 1476 vs 1429).
H2H favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	Montana
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.7	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	5.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.85

X3.60

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.93

2 (+0.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.85▲	Bet365 1.85
X	3.90 → 3.60▼	Bet365 3.60
2	4.50 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +9’	1.57	3.90	4.50
10:17 +7’	1.85▲	3.60▼	3.30▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4–1–1 Montana

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/25 Bulgaria Second League	Montana	0-2 HT 0-2	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
29/11/24 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-0 HT 0-0	Montana
14/02/23 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2-0 HT 1-0	Montana
14/07/22 Bulgaria B PFG	Montana	0-1 HT 0-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
06/04/22 Bulgaria B PFG	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-2 HT 0-1	Montana
26/09/21 Bulgaria B PFG	Montana	0-2 HT 0-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
2	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
3	Vihren Sandanski	14	7	5	2	26	13	26
4	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	14	6	5	3	13	10	23
5	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
6	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
7	Beroe	14	6	3	5	21	18	21
8	Spartak Pleven	14	6	2	6	16	25	20
9	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	14	6	2	6	29	24	20
10	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
12	Ludogorets Razgrad II	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
13	Marek Dupnitsa	14	5	3	6	16	18	18
14	Nesebar	14	5	3	6	22	21	18
15	Montana	14	4	2	8	18	29	14
16	Sportist Svoge	14	2	6	6	10	15	12
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	13	2	3	8	13	26	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	14	0	1	13	5	38	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	Montana
Spartak Pleven	1-2 L	1-2 L
FK Fratria	2-0 W	2-1 W
Chernomorets Burgas	2-4 L	0-2 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	1-4 L	0-5 L
CSKA Sofia II	1-0 W	0-4 L
Vihren Sandanski	1-4 L	1-4 L
Beroe	2-2 D	0-0 D
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1-2 L	3-0 W
Rilski Sportist	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

DLDLWLLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	6	3	W
23/10	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
09/10	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
20/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-2	2-4	6	4	L
14/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
06/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
03/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	4	6	L
29/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
21/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
15/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D

Montana

LWDLLLLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
28/10	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
13/10	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-3	1	9	L
27/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
21/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-3	0-5	7	4	L
13/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-4	7	7	L
08/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-4	6	5	L
03/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
30/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Montana?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo win (48%). Probabilities: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 48%, draw 24%, Montana 27%.

How many goals are expected in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Montana?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.98 · Montana 1.46), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs Montana?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.