Football · Bulgaria Second League · 09/11, 13:30

Prediction: Chernomorets Burgas vs Yantra Gabrovo

Team pages: Chernomorets Burgas · Yantra Gabrovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.24Total

Chernomorets Burgas1.38

Yantra Gabrovo0.85

1X2

49% 28% 23%

Chernomorets Burgas Draw Yantra Gabrovo

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 61% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Chernomorets Burgas 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWWWDW

Yantra Gabrovo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLLLWDW

Head-to-head

Chernomorets Burgas 0–4–1 Yantra Gabrovo (5 last)

Yantra Gabrovo0-0Chernomorets Burgas
Chernomorets Burgas1-1Yantra Gabrovo
Chernomorets Burgas2-2Yantra Gabrovo
Chernomorets Burgas0-1Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo1-1Chernomorets Burgas

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chernomorets Burgas 1571 · Yantra Gabrovo 1534

	Chernomorets Burgas	Draw	Yantra Gabrovo
Our model	48%	30%	22%
Market	50%	26%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.24 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chernomorets Burgas	Yantra Gabrovo
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.7	1.4 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.6	2.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.40

23.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.77

Under 2.252.02

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:17 +3’	1.80	3.40	3.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chernomorets Burgas 0–4–1 Yantra Gabrovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/12/25 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	0-0 HT 0-0	Chernomorets Burgas
02/08/25 Bulgaria Second League	Chernomorets Burgas	1-1 HT 1-0	Yantra Gabrovo
24/05/24 Bulgaria Second League	Chernomorets Burgas	2-2 HT 1-2	Yantra Gabrovo
02/02/24 Club Friendly List	Chernomorets Burgas	0-1 HT 0-0	Yantra Gabrovo
11/11/23 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	1-1 HT 0-0	Chernomorets Burgas

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
2	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
3	Vihren Sandanski	14	7	5	2	26	13	26
4	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	14	6	5	3	13	10	23
5	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
6	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
7	Beroe	14	6	3	5	21	18	21
8	Spartak Pleven	14	6	2	6	16	25	20
9	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	14	6	2	6	29	24	20
10	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
12	Ludogorets Razgrad II	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
13	Marek Dupnitsa	14	5	3	6	16	18	18
14	Nesebar	14	5	3	6	22	21	18
15	Montana	14	4	2	8	18	29	14
16	Sportist Svoge	14	2	6	6	10	15	12
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	13	2	3	8	13	26	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	14	0	1	13	5	38	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chernomorets Burgas	Yantra Gabrovo
Nesebar	2-1 W	1-1 D
Sportist Svoge	1-1 D	1-0 W
Pirin Blagoevgrad	3-0 W	2-0 W
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	0-1 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chernomorets Burgas

LWWDWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	10	3	W
23/10	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
10/10	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	1	3	W
27/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
20/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-2	0	4	W
13/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
07/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
02/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	5	7	W
29/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
23/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	1	5	L

Yantra Gabrovo

WDWWLLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	3-0	3-0	7	3	W
23/10	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-3	3-3	6	6	D
09/10	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
27/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
20/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
13/09	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
06/09	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-0	4	8	W
02/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	10	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chernomorets Burgas vs Yantra Gabrovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chernomorets Burgas win (49%). Probabilities: Chernomorets Burgas 49%, draw 28%, Yantra Gabrovo 23%.

How many goals are expected in Chernomorets Burgas vs Yantra Gabrovo?

The model expects 2.24 goals (Chernomorets Burgas 1.38 · Yantra Gabrovo 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chernomorets Burgas vs Yantra Gabrovo?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.