Football · Bulgaria Second League · 02/11, 13:30
Prediction: Sportist Svoge vs Ludogorets Razgrad II
Team pages: Sportist Svoge · Ludogorets Razgrad II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.3Total
Sportist Svoge1.27
Ludogorets Razgrad II1.03
1X2
Sportist Svoge
Draw
Ludogorets Razgrad II
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportist Svoge
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Ludogorets Razgrad II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportist Svoge
3–1–2
Ludogorets Razgrad II
(6 last)
- Ludogorets Razgrad II2-2Sportist Svoge
- Sportist Svoge2-1Ludogorets Razgrad II
- Ludogorets Razgrad II0-2Sportist Svoge
- Sportist Svoge0-1Ludogorets Razgrad II
- Sportist Svoge1-0Ludogorets Razgrad II
- Ludogorets Razgrad II3-1Sportist Svoge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportist Svoge 1456 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1496
| Sportist Svoge | Draw | Ludogorets Razgrad II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludogorets Razgrad II (rating 1456 vs 1496).
- H2H favours Sportist Svoge: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportist Svoge | Ludogorets Razgrad II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 3.9 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 6.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportist Svoge 3–1–2 Ludogorets Razgrad II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/26 Bulgaria Second League | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Sportist Svoge |
| 10/08/25 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
| 10/03/25 Bulgaria Second League | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sportist Svoge |
| 25/08/24 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
| 13/04/24 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
| 28/09/23 Bulgaria Second League | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Sportist Svoge |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 25 |
| 2 | Vihren Sandanski | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 25 |
| 3 | Chernomorets Burgas | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | FK Fratria | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 22 |
| 5 | Beroe | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 21 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 20 |
| 7 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 20 |
| 8 | Yantra Gabrovo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 20 |
| 9 | Rilski Sportist | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 10 | Marek Dupnitsa | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 18 |
| 11 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 12 | Nesebar | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 18 |
| 13 | Spartak Pleven | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 17 |
| 14 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 17 |
| 15 | Montana | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 11 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 26 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 36 | 1 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportist Svoge | Ludogorets Razgrad II |
|---|---|---|
| Chernomorets Burgas | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| CSKA Sofia II | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Vihren Sandanski | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Beroe | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportist Svoge (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportist Svoge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 10/10 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
Ludogorets Razgrad II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 5-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/10 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 21/09 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 9 | D |
| 07/09 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 02/09 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 29/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 25/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 18/08 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 12 | L |
| 10/08 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportist Svoge vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportist Svoge win (41%). Probabilities: Sportist Svoge 41%, draw 29%, Ludogorets Razgrad II 29%.
How many goals are expected in Sportist Svoge vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?
The model expects 2.3 goals (Sportist Svoge 1.27 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1.03), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportist Svoge vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.