Football · Bulgaria Second League · 29/10, 17:00

Prediction: Yantra Gabrovo vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Team pages: Yantra Gabrovo · FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

Yantra Gabrovo1.65

FC Hebar Pazardzhik1.29

1X2

45% 26% 29%

Yantra Gabrovo Draw FC Hebar Pazardzhik

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Yantra Gabrovo 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWWLLLWD

FC Hebar Pazardzhik 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDDLWWLWW

Head-to-head

Yantra Gabrovo 1–1–4 FC Hebar Pazardzhik (6 last)

FC Hebar Pazardzhik3-2Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo2-2FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik2-0Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo0-2FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Yantra Gabrovo1-0FC Hebar Pazardzhik
FC Hebar Pazardzhik4-0Yantra Gabrovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yantra Gabrovo 1517 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1586

	Yantra Gabrovo	Draw	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Our model	45%	26%	29%
Market	45%	26%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik (rating 1517 vs 1586).
H2H favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik: 4-1-1.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yantra Gabrovo	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.8	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/70/20%	30/70/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	5.4 / 7.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.40

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.80

2 (+0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
16:53 +16’	2.00	3.40	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yantra Gabrovo 1–1–4 FC Hebar Pazardzhik

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Bulgaria Second League	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3-2 HT 3-0	Yantra Gabrovo
10/08/25 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	2-2 HT 0-2	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
01/12/21 Bulgaria B PFG	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-0 HT 2-0	Yantra Gabrovo
24/07/21 Bulgaria B PFG	Yantra Gabrovo	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
14/03/21 Bulgaria B PFG	Yantra Gabrovo	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
12/09/20 Bulgaria B PFG	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	4-0 HT 2-0	Yantra Gabrovo

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	7	4	2	26	12	25
2	Vihren Sandanski	13	7	4	2	26	13	25
3	Chernomorets Burgas	13	7	4	2	22	9	25
4	FK Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	22
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21	16	21
6	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	13	5	5	3	11	10	20
7	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	13	6	2	5	29	21	20
8	Yantra Gabrovo	13	6	2	5	16	14	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	5	4	4	15	13	19
10	Marek Dupnitsa	13	5	3	5	15	15	18
11	Nesebar	13	5	3	5	21	19	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14	24	17
13	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	11	4	3	4	12	12	15
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15	26	11
16	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9	14	11
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	12	2	3	7	12	21	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0	1	12	5	36	1

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yantra Gabrovo	FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Pirin Blagoevgrad	2-0 W	3-2 W
Nesebar	1-1 D	2-1 W
Sportist Svoge	1-0 W	3-1 W
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yantra Gabrovo

WWDWWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-3	3-3	6	6	D
09/10	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
27/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	5	L
20/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
13/09	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	4	4	L
06/09	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-0	4	8	W
02/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
23/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
16/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W

FC Hebar Pazardzhik

WWDDLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	11	3	W
10/10	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
27/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
21/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	3-0	5-0	4	4	W
14/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-1	7	5	W
07/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-3	8	10	L
01/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	8	3	D
29/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
23/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	11	5	W
18/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	8	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yantra Gabrovo vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yantra Gabrovo win (45%). Probabilities: Yantra Gabrovo 45%, draw 26%, FC Hebar Pazardzhik 29%.

How many goals are expected in Yantra Gabrovo vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

The model expects 2.93 goals (Yantra Gabrovo 1.65 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Yantra Gabrovo vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.