Football · Bulgaria Second League · 08/11, 13:30

Prediction: Spartak Pleven vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Team pages: Spartak Pleven · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Spartak Pleven1.77

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich1

1X2

54% 25% 20%

Spartak Pleven Draw PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Spartak Pleven 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLWLDWW

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLLWLL

Head-to-head

Spartak Pleven 3–2–1 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich (6 last)

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich1-0Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven0-0PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich0-1Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven3-0PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich2-2Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven3-1PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartak Pleven 1488 · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1453

	Spartak Pleven	Draw	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Our model	54%	26%	20%
Market	55%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Spartak Pleven: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spartak Pleven	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	0.8 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.2	1.5 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.3	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 15:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.67▲	Bet365 1.67
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.33 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
15:09 +9’	1.65	3.60	4.33
04:26 +10’	1.57▼	3.70▲	5.00▲
15:03 +7’	1.67▲	3.60▼	4.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Pleven 3–2–1 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/25 Bulgaria Second League	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	1-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven
03/08/24 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	0-0 HT 0-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
17/02/24 Bulgaria Second League	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0-1 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven
05/08/23 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	3-0 HT 1-0	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
11/03/23 Bulgaria Second League	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-2 HT 2-2	Spartak Pleven
13/08/22 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	3-1 HT 1-1	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
2	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
3	Vihren Sandanski	14	7	5	2	26	13	26
4	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	14	6	5	3	13	10	23
5	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
6	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
7	Beroe	14	6	3	5	21	18	21
8	Spartak Pleven	14	6	2	6	16	25	20
9	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	14	6	2	6	29	24	20
10	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
12	Ludogorets Razgrad II	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
13	Marek Dupnitsa	14	5	3	6	16	18	18
14	Nesebar	14	5	3	6	22	21	18
15	Montana	14	4	2	8	18	29	14
16	Sportist Svoge	14	2	6	6	10	15	12
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	13	2	3	8	13	26	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	14	0	1	13	5	38	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spartak Pleven	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Ludogorets Razgrad II	1-0 W	1-5 L
Chernomorets Burgas	0-3 L	0-3 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3-2 W	2-1 W
CSKA Sofia II	1-5 L	1-3 L
Vihren Sandanski	0-2 L	0-2 L
Beroe	0-3 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartak Pleven

LLLWLWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/11	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
23/10	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
10/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
27/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
21/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
07/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	5	10	W
03/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-5	7	3	L
30/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
25/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	3	4	L

PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich

LLDLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/10	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-5	0	4	L
10/10	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
27/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-1	1	5	W
21/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-3	7	5	L
13/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	8	1	L
06/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-2	5	7	D
03/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	2	1	L
29/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
23/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-4	4	9	L
16/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	8	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartak Pleven vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Spartak Pleven win (54%). Probabilities: Spartak Pleven 54%, draw 25%, PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 20%.

How many goals are expected in Spartak Pleven vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Spartak Pleven 1.77 · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartak Pleven vs PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.