Football · Bulgaria Second League · 08/11, 13:30

Prediction: Vihren Sandanski vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Team pages: Vihren Sandanski · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Vihren Sandanski1.83

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.81

1X2

61% 24% 15%

Vihren Sandanski Draw Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Vihren Sandanski 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLWLDD

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDDWDDWW

Head-to-head

Vihren Sandanski 2–0 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa (2 last)

Vihren Sandanski6-0Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1-2Vihren Sandanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vihren Sandanski 1556 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1545

	Vihren Sandanski	Draw	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Our model	60%	25%	15%
Market	61%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vihren Sandanski: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vihren Sandanski	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 0.9	1 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.1	0.4 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.6	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.80

25.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.75 → 5.75	Bet365 5.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:12 +6’	1.48	3.80	5.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Vihren Sandanski 2–0–0 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Bulgaria Second League	Vihren Sandanski	6-0 HT 4-0	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
26/07/25 Bulgaria Second League	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1-2 HT 0-2	Vihren Sandanski

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	14	8	4	2	29	13	28
2	Chernomorets Burgas	14	8	4	2	24	10	28
3	Vihren Sandanski	14	7	5	2	26	13	26
4	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	14	6	5	3	13	10	23
5	Yantra Gabrovo	14	7	2	5	19	14	23
6	FK Fratria	13	6	4	3	18	12	22
7	Beroe	14	6	3	5	21	18	21
8	Spartak Pleven	14	6	2	6	16	25	20
9	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	14	6	2	6	29	24	20
10	Rilski Sportist	14	5	5	4	15	13	20
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	13	6	2	5	22	21	20
12	Ludogorets Razgrad II	13	5	4	4	18	14	19
13	Marek Dupnitsa	14	5	3	6	16	18	18
14	Nesebar	14	5	3	6	22	21	18
15	Montana	14	4	2	8	18	29	14
16	Sportist Svoge	14	2	6	6	10	15	12
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	13	2	3	8	13	26	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	14	0	1	13	5	38	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vihren Sandanski	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Rilski Sportist	0-0 D	0-0 D
Marek Dupnitsa	1-1 D	0-0 D
Yantra Gabrovo	0-1 L	1-0 W
Nesebar	2-0 W	1-1 D
Sportist Svoge	2-3 L	0-0 D
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-0 W	2-0 W
Montana	4-1 W	0-3 L
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vihren Sandanski

DWWWWLWLDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
23/10	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
09/10	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
27/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	11	3	W
21/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-3	6	1	L
13/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
08/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
03/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-1	9	6	W
30/08	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
24/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-2	7	5	D

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

WLWDDWDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	8	7	W
23/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
10/10	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/09	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	4	6	D
20/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	11	2	W
15/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	1	2	D
07/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
03/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
30/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
21/08	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vihren Sandanski vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vihren Sandanski win (61%). Probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 61%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 15%.

How many goals are expected in Vihren Sandanski vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Vihren Sandanski 1.83 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 0.81), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vihren Sandanski vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.