Football · Bulgaria Second League · 31/10, 13:30

Prediction: Marek Dupnitsa vs CSKA Sofia II

Team pages: Marek Dupnitsa · CSKA Sofia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.3Total

Marek Dupnitsa1.03

CSKA Sofia II1.27

1X2

29% 29% 41%

Marek Dupnitsa Draw CSKA Sofia II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Marek Dupnitsa 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDWLWLDWD

CSKA Sofia II 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWLWWWDD

Head-to-head

Marek Dupnitsa 3–3–0 CSKA Sofia II (6 last)

CSKA Sofia II0-1Marek Dupnitsa
Marek Dupnitsa1-1CSKA Sofia II
Marek Dupnitsa1-0CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II1-2Marek Dupnitsa
Marek Dupnitsa2-2CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II0-0Marek Dupnitsa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marek Dupnitsa 1510 · CSKA Sofia II 1529

	Marek Dupnitsa	Draw	CSKA Sofia II
Our model	29%	31%	41%
Market	30%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.3 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Marek Dupnitsa: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Marek Dupnitsa	CSKA Sofia II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	2.1 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.2 / 0.4	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.20

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +6’	3.00	3.20	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Marek Dupnitsa 3–3–0 CSKA Sofia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	0-1 HT 0-1	Marek Dupnitsa
28/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	Marek Dupnitsa	1-1 HT 0-1	CSKA Sofia II
07/05/25 Bulgaria Second League	Marek Dupnitsa	1-0 HT 0-0	CSKA Sofia II
11/11/24 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	1-2 HT 0-1	Marek Dupnitsa
06/05/23 Bulgaria Third League	Marek Dupnitsa	2-2 HT 2-1	CSKA Sofia II
31/03/23 Bulgaria Third League	CSKA Sofia II	0-0 HT 0-0	Marek Dupnitsa

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	7	4	2	26	12	25
2	Vihren Sandanski	13	7	4	2	26	13	25
3	Chernomorets Burgas	13	7	4	2	22	9	25
4	FK Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	22
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21	16	21
6	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	13	5	5	3	11	10	20
7	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	13	6	2	5	29	21	20
8	Yantra Gabrovo	13	6	2	5	16	14	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	5	4	4	15	13	19
10	Marek Dupnitsa	13	5	3	5	15	15	18
11	Nesebar	13	5	3	5	21	19	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14	24	17
13	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	11	4	3	4	12	12	15
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15	26	11
16	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9	14	11
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	12	2	3	7	12	21	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0	1	12	5	36	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Marek Dupnitsa	CSKA Sofia II
Yantra Gabrovo	0-3 L	3-3 D
Nesebar	1-0 W	0-0 D
Sportist Svoge	0-0 D	1-0 W
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	4-2 W	3-1 W
Montana	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: CSKA Sofia II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marek Dupnitsa

LWDWLWLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	8	7	D
10/10	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	3-1	3-2	3	5	W
26/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
20/09	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-3	8	9	L
13/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	3-0	3-0	9	2	W
06/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	2	8	L
02/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
29/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	2-1	4-2	5	9	W
16/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L

CSKA Sofia II

WDLWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	3-0	3-3	4	6	D
10/10	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
27/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	8	5	W
21/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
13/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-0	4-0	3	7	W
06/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
03/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	2-1	5-1	3	3	W
29/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
25/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	11	8	D
17/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	3	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marek Dupnitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an CSKA Sofia II win (41%). Probabilities: Marek Dupnitsa 29%, draw 29%, CSKA Sofia II 41%.

How many goals are expected in Marek Dupnitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model expects 2.3 goals (Marek Dupnitsa 1.03 · CSKA Sofia II 1.27), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Marek Dupnitsa vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.