Football · Bulgaria Second League · 30/10, 13:15

Prediction: Rilski Sportist vs Vihren Sandanski

Team pages: Rilski Sportist · Vihren Sandanski

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.59Total

Rilski Sportist1.16

Vihren Sandanski1.43

1X2

30% 28% 42%

Rilski Sportist Draw Vihren Sandanski

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Rilski Sportist 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWLWWWDL

Vihren Sandanski 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WDWWWWLWLD

Head-to-head

Rilski Sportist 2–1–2 Vihren Sandanski (5 last)

Vihren Sandanski2-1Rilski Sportist
Rilski Sportist2-1Vihren Sandanski
Rilski Sportist2-3Vihren Sandanski
Vihren Sandanski1-1Rilski Sportist
Rilski Sportist1-0Vihren Sandanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rilski Sportist 1529 · Vihren Sandanski 1545

	Rilski Sportist	Draw	Vihren Sandanski
Our model	29%	29%	42%
Market	30%	27%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rilski Sportist	Vihren Sandanski
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.9	2.1 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.1	3.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.00

X3.30

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.93

2 (-0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:07 +3’	3.00	3.30	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rilski Sportist 2–1–2 Vihren Sandanski

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/24 Bulgaria Third League	Vihren Sandanski	2-1 HT 0-0	Rilski Sportist
08/11/23 Bulgaria Third League	Rilski Sportist	2-1 HT 0-0	Vihren Sandanski
25/02/23 Bulgaria Third League	Rilski Sportist	2-3 HT 1-1	Vihren Sandanski
30/09/22 Bulgaria Third League	Vihren Sandanski	1-1 HT 1-0	Rilski Sportist
18/08/18 Bulgaria Third League	Rilski Sportist	1-0 HT 0-0	Vihren Sandanski

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	13	7	4	2	26	12	25
2	Vihren Sandanski	13	7	4	2	26	13	25
3	Chernomorets Burgas	13	7	4	2	22	9	25
4	FK Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	22
5	Beroe	13	6	3	4	21	16	21
6	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	13	5	5	3	11	10	20
7	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	13	6	2	5	29	21	20
8	Yantra Gabrovo	13	6	2	5	16	14	20
9	Rilski Sportist	13	5	4	4	15	13	19
10	Marek Dupnitsa	13	5	3	5	15	15	18
11	Nesebar	13	5	3	5	21	19	18
12	Spartak Pleven	13	5	2	6	14	24	17
13	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	12	5	2	5	20	21	17
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	11	4	3	4	12	12	15
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15	26	11
16	Sportist Svoge	13	2	5	6	9	14	11
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	12	2	3	7	12	21	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	13	0	1	12	5	36	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rilski Sportist	Vihren Sandanski
Marek Dupnitsa	3-1 W	1-1 D
Yantra Gabrovo	2-0 W	0-1 L
Nesebar	1-2 L	2-0 W
Sportist Svoge	2-1 W	2-3 L
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	0-0 D	2-0 W
Montana	2-1 W	4-1 W
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1-1 D	4-1 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rilski Sportist

DWDWLWWWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
10/10	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
26/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
20/09	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-1	3-1	2	9	W
13/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	8	4	W
06/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
02/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
29/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
22/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
15/08	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-1	5	5	D

Vihren Sandanski

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	2	7	D
09/10	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
27/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	11	3	W
21/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-3	6	1	L
13/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
08/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
03/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-1	9	6	W
30/08	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
24/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-2	7	5	D
18/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	12	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rilski Sportist vs Vihren Sandanski?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Vihren Sandanski win (42%). Probabilities: Rilski Sportist 30%, draw 28%, Vihren Sandanski 42%.

How many goals are expected in Rilski Sportist vs Vihren Sandanski?

The model expects 2.59 goals (Rilski Sportist 1.16 · Vihren Sandanski 1.43), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Rilski Sportist vs Vihren Sandanski?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.