Football · Bulgaria Second League · 23/10, 15:00

Prediction: Vihren Sandanski vs Marek Dupnitsa

Team pages: Vihren Sandanski · Marek Dupnitsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Vihren Sandanski2.09

Marek Dupnitsa0.68

1X2

69% 21% 10%

Vihren Sandanski Draw Marek Dupnitsa

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Vihren Sandanski 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

DWDWWWWLWL

Marek Dupnitsa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDWLWLDW

Head-to-head

Vihren Sandanski 3–1–2 Marek Dupnitsa (6 last)

Marek Dupnitsa1-0Vihren Sandanski
Vihren Sandanski2-0Marek Dupnitsa
Vihren Sandanski4-3Marek Dupnitsa
Marek Dupnitsa1-0Vihren Sandanski
Vihren Sandanski1-1Marek Dupnitsa
Marek Dupnitsa0-2Vihren Sandanski

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vihren Sandanski 1540 · Marek Dupnitsa 1506

	Vihren Sandanski	Draw	Marek Dupnitsa
Our model	69%	21%	10%
Market	69%	21%	10%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Vihren Sandanski: 3-1-2.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vihren Sandanski	Marek Dupnitsa
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	1.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.6	1.8 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	6.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.30

X4.33

29.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.98

2 (+1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Bet365 1.30
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	9.00 → 9.00	Bet365 9.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
22:02 +152’	1.30	4.33	9.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vihren Sandanski 3–1–2 Marek Dupnitsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Bulgaria Second League	Marek Dupnitsa	1-0 HT 0-0	Vihren Sandanski
06/10/25 Bulgaria Second League	Vihren Sandanski	2-0 HT 0-0	Marek Dupnitsa
06/09/23 Bulgaria Cup	Vihren Sandanski	4-3 HT 3-2	Marek Dupnitsa
22/04/23 Bulgaria Third League	Marek Dupnitsa	1-0 HT 1-0	Vihren Sandanski
28/11/20 Bulgaria Third League	Vihren Sandanski	1-1 HT 0-0	Marek Dupnitsa
05/03/19 Bulgaria Third League	Marek Dupnitsa	0-2 HT 0-2	Vihren Sandanski

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	12	7	3	2	23	9	24
2	Vihren Sandanski	12	7	3	2	25	12	24
3	Chernomorets Burgas	12	7	3	2	21	8	24
4	FK Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	22
5	Rilski Sportist	12	5	4	3	14	10	19
6	Yantra Gabrovo	12	6	1	5	13	11	19
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
8	Beroe	12	5	3	4	18	15	18
9	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	12	4	5	3	9	10	17
10	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19	19	17
12	Marek Dupnitsa	12	5	2	5	14	14	17
13	Ludogorets Razgrad II	11	4	3	4	12	12	15
14	Spartak Pleven	12	4	2	6	12	23	14
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15	26	11
16	Sportist Svoge	12	2	4	6	8	13	10
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	12	2	3	7	12	21	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	12	0	1	11	5	34	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vihren Sandanski	Marek Dupnitsa
Yantra Gabrovo	0-1 L	0-3 L
Nesebar	2-0 W	1-0 W
Sportist Svoge	2-3 L	0-0 D
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	2-0 W	4-2 W
Montana	4-1 W	0-1 L
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Vihren Sandanski (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vihren Sandanski

DWDWWWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	8	L
27/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	11	3	W
21/09	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-3	6	1	L
13/09	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
08/09	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-0	4-1	5	5	W
03/09	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-1	9	6	W
30/08	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	2	3	W
24/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-2	7	5	D
18/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	6	12	W
09/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	9	4	D

Marek Dupnitsa

LLWDWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	3-1	3-2	3	5	W
26/09	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
20/09	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-3	8	9	L
13/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	3-0	3-0	9	2	W
06/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	2	8	L
02/09	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
29/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
23/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	2-1	4-2	5	9	W
16/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
07/08	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	1	9	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vihren Sandanski vs Marek Dupnitsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vihren Sandanski win (69%). Probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 69%, draw 21%, Marek Dupnitsa 10%.

How many goals are expected in Vihren Sandanski vs Marek Dupnitsa?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Vihren Sandanski 2.09 · Marek Dupnitsa 0.68), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Vihren Sandanski vs Marek Dupnitsa?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.