Football · Bulgaria Second League · 23/10, 17:00

Prediction: Spartak Pleven vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Team pages: Spartak Pleven · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Spartak Pleven1.55

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.58

1X2

36% 26% 38%

Spartak Pleven Draw Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Spartak Pleven 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLWLD

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Spartak Pleven 2–3–1 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (6 last)

Spartak Pleven4-0Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-0Spartak Pleven
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-0Spartak Pleven
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo0-0Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven2-1Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo3-0Spartak Pleven

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Spartak Pleven 1477 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1500

	Spartak Pleven	Draw	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Our model	36%	26%	38%
Market	36%	26%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Spartak Pleven: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Spartak Pleven	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.2	1.4 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	2.3 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.40

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
21:52 +162’	2.50	3.40	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Spartak Pleven 2–3–1 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	4-0 HT 2-0	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
13/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven
08/05/25 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven
29/01/25 Club Friendly List	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven
10/11/24 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	2-1 HT 1-1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
26/05/23 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3-0 HT 0-0	Spartak Pleven

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	CSKA Sofia II	12	7	3	2	23	9	24
2	Vihren Sandanski	12	7	3	2	25	12	24
3	Chernomorets Burgas	12	7	3	2	21	8	24
4	FK Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	22
5	Rilski Sportist	12	5	4	3	14	10	19
6	Yantra Gabrovo	12	6	1	5	13	11	19
7	Nesebar	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
8	Beroe	12	5	3	4	18	15	18
9	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	12	4	5	3	9	10	17
10	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	12	5	2	5	27	20	17
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19	19	17
12	Marek Dupnitsa	12	5	2	5	14	14	17
13	Ludogorets Razgrad II	11	4	3	4	12	12	15
14	Spartak Pleven	12	4	2	6	12	23	14
15	Montana	12	3	2	7	15	26	11
16	Sportist Svoge	12	2	4	6	8	13	10
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	12	2	3	7	12	21	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	12	0	1	11	5	34	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Spartak Pleven	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
FK Fratria	0-3 L	2-0 W
Chernomorets Burgas	0-3 L	2-4 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3-2 W	1-4 L
CSKA Sofia II	1-5 L	1-0 W
Vihren Sandanski	0-2 L	1-4 L
Beroe	0-3 L	2-2 D
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	0-1 L	1-2 L
Rilski Sportist	2-2 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Spartak Pleven

DLLLLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	3	5	D
27/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
21/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
07/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	5	10	W
03/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-5	7	3	L
30/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
25/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
16/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
09/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-2	1	5	D

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

WWDLDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
20/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-2	2-4	6	4	L
14/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	3	5	L
06/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	1	2	W
03/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	4	6	L
29/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
21/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
15/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Spartak Pleven vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo win (38%). Probabilities: Spartak Pleven 36%, draw 26%, Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 38%.

How many goals are expected in Spartak Pleven vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Spartak Pleven 1.55 · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Spartak Pleven vs Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.