Football · Bulgaria Second League · 10/10, 15:00

Prediction: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven

Team pages: Pirin Blagoevgrad · Spartak Pleven

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Pirin Blagoevgrad1.21

Spartak Pleven1.49

1X2

29% 28% 43%

Pirin Blagoevgrad Draw Spartak Pleven

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLL

Spartak Pleven 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WDLLLLWLWL

Head-to-head

Pirin Blagoevgrad 5–1–0 Spartak Pleven (6 last)

Pirin Blagoevgrad1-1Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven2-5Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad2-1Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven1-2Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad2-0Spartak Pleven
Spartak Pleven2-3Pirin Blagoevgrad

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spartak Pleven (rating 1378 vs 1476).
H2H favours Pirin Blagoevgrad: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pirin Blagoevgrad	Spartak Pleven
Goals for / against (FT)	0.3 / 2.8	0.9 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.3	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 3.3	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.78

Under 2.51.93

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.38 → 4.12▲	Pinn 4.12
X	3.14 → 3.56▲	Pinn 3.56
2	1.95 → 1.66▼	Pinn 1.66

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +49’	3.38	3.14	1.95
05:43 +11’	3.19▼	3.22▲	2.00▲
07:12 +32’	4.12▲	3.56▲	1.66▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirin Blagoevgrad 5–1–0 Spartak Pleven

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Bulgaria Second League	Pirin Blagoevgrad	1-1 HT 1-0	Spartak Pleven
23/08/25 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	2-5 HT 1-2	Pirin Blagoevgrad
15/03/25 Bulgaria Second League	Pirin Blagoevgrad	2-1 HT 0-1	Spartak Pleven
01/09/24 Bulgaria Second League	Spartak Pleven	1-2 HT 1-0	Pirin Blagoevgrad
25/08/19 Bulgaria B PFG	Pirin Blagoevgrad	2-0 HT 1-0	Spartak Pleven
20/09/16 Bulgaria Cup	Spartak Pleven	2-3 HT 0-0	Pirin Blagoevgrad

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	12	7	3	2	25	12	24
2	CSKA Sofia II	11	7	2	2	23	9	23
3	FK Fratria	12	6	4	2	17	10	22
4	Chernomorets Burgas	11	6	3	2	18	8	21
5	Yantra Gabrovo	12	6	1	5	13	11	19
6	Beroe	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
7	Rilski Sportist	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
8	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	11	5	2	4	19	19	17
9	Nesebar	11	5	2	4	20	17	17
10	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	11	4	4	3	9	10	16
11	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	11	4	2	5	24	19	14
12	Marek Dupnitsa	11	4	2	5	11	12	14
13	Spartak Pleven	11	4	1	6	11	22	13
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	10	3	3	4	9	10	12
15	Montana	11	3	2	6	13	23	11
16	Sportist Svoge	11	2	4	5	7	10	10
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	11	2	3	6	12	18	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	11	0	0	11	4	33	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pirin Blagoevgrad	Spartak Pleven
Rilski Sportist	0-1 L	2-2 D
FK Fratria	1-2 L	0-3 L
Marek Dupnitsa	0-3 L	2-1 W
Ludogorets Razgrad II	0-3 L	1-0 W
Chernomorets Burgas	0-3 L	0-3 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-3 L	3-2 W
CSKA Sofia II	0-3 L	1-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Spartak Pleven (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pirin Blagoevgrad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	2	2	L
20/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
13/09	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-3	0-3	4	2	L
07/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
02/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
23/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-7	4	4	L
18/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
09/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-3	1	4	L

Spartak Pleven

WDLLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	6	2	L
21/09	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-3	1	2	L
07/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-2	5	10	W
03/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	1-2	1-5	7	3	L
30/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
25/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
16/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
09/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-2	1	5	D
01/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Spartak Pleven win (43%). Probabilities: Pirin Blagoevgrad 29%, draw 28%, Spartak Pleven 43%.

How many goals are expected in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.21 · Spartak Pleven 1.49), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Spartak Pleven?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.