Football · Bulgaria Second League · 10/10, 15:00
Prediction: Sportist Svoge vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Team pages: Sportist Svoge · FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Sportist Svoge1.15
FC Hebar Pazardzhik1.23
1X2
Sportist Svoge
Draw
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportist Svoge
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportist Svoge
3–1–2
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
(6 last)
- Sportist Svoge1-0FC Hebar Pazardzhik
- FC Hebar Pazardzhik0-3Sportist Svoge
- Sportist Svoge0-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik
- Sportist Svoge1-0FC Hebar Pazardzhik
- FC Hebar Pazardzhik3-1Sportist Svoge
- Sportist Svoge1-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportist Svoge 1490 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1487
| Sportist Svoge | Draw | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 33% | 29% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sportist Svoge: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportist Svoge | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.5 | 4.4 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportist Svoge 3–1–2 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/26 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
| 22/11/25 Bulgaria Second League | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sportist Svoge |
| 14/10/23 Bulgaria Cup | Sportist Svoge | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
| 05/03/22 Bulgaria B PFG | Sportist Svoge | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
| 18/08/21 Bulgaria B PFG | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Sportist Svoge |
| 13/04/21 Bulgaria B PFG | Sportist Svoge | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Chernomorets Burgas | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Rilski Sportist | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 17 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Yantra Gabrovo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Marek Dupnitsa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| 13 | Spartak Pleven | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 33 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportist Svoge | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia II | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Vihren Sandanski | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1-0 W | 3-2 W |
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sportist Svoge (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportist Svoge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/09 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 07/09 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/09 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 21/09 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 01/09 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 18/08 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportist Svoge vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Hebar Pazardzhik win (37%). Probabilities: Sportist Svoge 33%, draw 30%, FC Hebar Pazardzhik 37%.
How many goals are expected in Sportist Svoge vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Sportist Svoge 1.15 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportist Svoge vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.