Football · Bulgaria Second League · 13/10, 17:00

Prediction: Montana vs Ludogorets Razgrad II

Team pages: Montana · Ludogorets Razgrad II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.45Total

Montana1.61

Ludogorets Razgrad II0.84

1X2

55% 26% 19%

Montana Draw Ludogorets Razgrad II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Montana 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Ludogorets Razgrad II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Montana 3–1–2 Ludogorets Razgrad II (6 last)

Montana0-0Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II1-2Montana
Ludogorets Razgrad II2-1Montana
Montana3-2Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II3-2Montana
Montana2-0Ludogorets Razgrad II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Montana 1454 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1486

	Montana	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad II
Our model	54%	27%	18%
Market	56%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.45 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Montana: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Montana	Ludogorets Razgrad II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.1	0.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.8	2.1 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0	6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.60

X3.60

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.82

Under 2.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
01:50 +5’	1.60	3.60	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Montana 3–1–2 Ludogorets Razgrad II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/25 Bulgaria Second League	Montana	0-0 HT 0-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II
07/10/24 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	1-2 HT 0-2	Montana
24/02/24 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-1 HT 1-0	Montana
14/08/23 Bulgaria Second League	Montana	3-2 HT 2-1	Ludogorets Razgrad II
21/05/23 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	3-2 HT 1-1	Montana
24/10/22 Bulgaria Second League	Montana	2-0 HT 0-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	11	7	3	1	25	11	24
2	CSKA Sofia II	11	7	2	2	23	9	23
3	FK Fratria	11	6	4	1	17	8	22
4	Chernomorets Burgas	11	6	3	2	18	8	21
5	Beroe	11	5	3	3	16	12	18
6	Rilski Sportist	11	5	3	3	14	10	18
7	Nesebar	11	5	2	4	20	17	17
8	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	11	4	4	3	9	10	16
9	Yantra Gabrovo	11	5	1	5	12	11	16
10	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	11	4	2	5	24	19	14
11	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	10	4	2	4	17	19	14
12	Marek Dupnitsa	11	4	2	5	11	12	14
13	Spartak Pleven	11	4	1	6	11	22	13
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	10	3	3	4	9	10	12
15	Montana	11	3	2	6	13	23	11
16	Sportist Svoge	11	2	4	5	7	10	10
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	11	2	3	6	12	18	9
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	11	0	0	11	4	33	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Montana	Ludogorets Razgrad II
Chernomorets Burgas	0-2 L	0-1 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	0-5 L	1-1 D
CSKA Sofia II	0-4 L	1-1 D
Vihren Sandanski	1-4 L	0-2 L
Beroe	0-0 D	0-2 L
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3-0 W	2-1 W
Rilski Sportist	1-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ludogorets Razgrad II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Montana

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
21/09	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-3	0-5	7	4	L
13/09	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-4	7	7	L
08/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-4	6	5	L
03/09	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
30/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
16/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	4	6	W
11/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	2-2	2-3	4	5	L
04/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	1-1	3-1	8	4	W

Ludogorets Razgrad II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
15/09	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	9	9	D
07/09	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-0	1	4	W
02/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
29/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
25/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
18/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	2	12	L
10/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
03/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/07	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Montana vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Montana win (55%). Probabilities: Montana 55%, draw 26%, Ludogorets Razgrad II 19%.

How many goals are expected in Montana vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

The model expects 2.45 goals (Montana 1.61 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 0.84), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Montana vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.