Football · Bulgaria Second League · 10/10, 17:00
Prediction: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Chernomorets Burgas
Team pages: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich · Chernomorets Burgas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich1
Chernomorets Burgas1.38
1X2
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Draw
Chernomorets Burgas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Chernomorets Burgas
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
3–2
Chernomorets Burgas
(5 last)
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich3-1Chernomorets Burgas
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich1-0Chernomorets Burgas
- Chernomorets Burgas1-0PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
- PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich4-2Chernomorets Burgas
- Chernomorets Burgas2-1PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1462 · Chernomorets Burgas 1554
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | Draw | Chernomorets Burgas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 30% | 44% |
| Market | 27% | 27% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chernomorets Burgas (rating 1462 vs 1554).
- H2H favours PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | Chernomorets Burgas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.2 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 3–0–2 Chernomorets Burgas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/25 Club Friendly List | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 16/03/24 Bulgaria Second League | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 04/09/23 Bulgaria Second League | Chernomorets Burgas | 1-0 HT 1-0 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich |
| 09/05/15 Bulgaria Second League | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 02/11/14 Bulgaria Second League | Chernomorets Burgas | 2-1 HT 0-0 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 24 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Chernomorets Burgas | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 21 |
| 5 | Beroe | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 6 | Rilski Sportist | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 18 |
| 7 | Nesebar | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 17 |
| 8 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 9 | Yantra Gabrovo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 14 |
| 11 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Marek Dupnitsa | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 14 |
| 13 | Spartak Pleven | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 10 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 11 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 33 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | Chernomorets Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| CSKA Sofia II | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Vihren Sandanski | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Beroe | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chernomorets Burgas (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 21/09 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/09 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 06/09 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 03/09 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 16/08 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | D |
Chernomorets Burgas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 20/09 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-2 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 07/09 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 02/09 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Chernomorets Burgas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chernomorets Burgas win (45%). Probabilities: PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 27%, draw 28%, Chernomorets Burgas 45%.
How many goals are expected in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Chernomorets Burgas?
The model expects 2.37 goals (PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 1 · Chernomorets Burgas 1.38), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich vs Chernomorets Burgas?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.