Football · Bulgaria Second League · 26/09, 15:00
Prediction: Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
Team pages: Rilski Sportist · Pirin Blagoevgrad
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.39Total
Rilski Sportist2.38
Pirin Blagoevgrad1
1X2
Rilski Sportist
Draw
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Rilski Sportist
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rilski Sportist (rating 1524 vs 1372).
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rilski Sportist | Pirin Blagoevgrad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 0.4 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 6 | 1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Chernomorets Burgas | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Nesebar | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 17 |
| 6 | Yantra Gabrovo | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| 7 | Beroe | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 8 | Rilski Sportist | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 14 |
| 11 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Spartak Pleven | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 13 |
| 13 | Marek Dupnitsa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| 14 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| 15 | Montana | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 11 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 6 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 32 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rilski Sportist | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Marek Dupnitsa | 3-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Yantra Gabrovo | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Nesebar | 1-2 L | 0-7 L |
| Sportist Svoge | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0-0 D | 1-5 L |
| FK Fratria | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Ludogorets Razgrad II | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 0 W 0 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Rilski Sportist (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rilski Sportist
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 13/09 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/09 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 15/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 07/09 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 02/09 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 29/08 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rilski Sportist win (67%). Probabilities: Rilski Sportist 67%, draw 19%, Pirin Blagoevgrad 13%.
How many goals are expected in Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
The model expects 3.39 goals (Rilski Sportist 2.38 · Pirin Blagoevgrad 1), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.