Football · Bulgaria Second League · 18/08, 17:30
Prediction: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Team pages: Pirin Blagoevgrad · FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Pirin Blagoevgrad1.46
FC Hebar Pazardzhik1.51
1X2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1–3–2
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
(6 last)
- Pirin Blagoevgrad2-2FC Hebar Pazardzhik
- FC Hebar Pazardzhik4-2Pirin Blagoevgrad
- Pirin Blagoevgrad0-0FC Hebar Pazardzhik
- Pirin Blagoevgrad1-1FC Hebar Pazardzhik
- FC Hebar Pazardzhik2-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
- FC Hebar Pazardzhik1-2Pirin Blagoevgrad
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pirin Blagoevgrad 1419 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1432
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | Draw | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 27% | 38% |
| Market | 35% | 28% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Hebar Pazardzhik: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.2 | 1 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.2 | 3 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirin Blagoevgrad 1–3–2 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/26 Bulgaria Second League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 2-2 HT 1-0 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
| 18/10/25 Bulgaria Second League | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| 21/05/24 Bulgaria First League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
| 11/03/24 Bulgaria First League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1-1 HT 1-0 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
| 28/02/24 Bulgaria Cup | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| 18/09/23 Bulgaria First League | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia II | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Montana | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Yantra Gabrovo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nesebar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Chernomorets Burgas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Vihren Sandanski | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportist Svoge | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Marek Dupnitsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Rilski Sportist | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pirin Blagoevgrad | FC Hebar Pazardzhik |
|---|---|---|
| Sportist Svoge | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| CSKA Sofia II | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Marek Dupnitsa | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Chernomorets Burgas | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Hebar Pazardzhik (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/04 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/04 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
FC Hebar Pazardzhik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/07 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/06 | KF Ballkani Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 27/04 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/04 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Hebar Pazardzhik win (37%). Probabilities: Pirin Blagoevgrad 35%, draw 27%, FC Hebar Pazardzhik 37%.
How many goals are expected in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.46 · FC Hebar Pazardzhik 1.51), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs FC Hebar Pazardzhik?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.