Football · Bulgaria Second League · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Yantra Gabrovo vs Sportist Svoge

Team pages: Yantra Gabrovo · Sportist Svoge

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.17Total

Yantra Gabrovo1.56

Sportist Svoge0.6

1X2

60% 26% 14%

Yantra Gabrovo Draw Sportist Svoge

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Yantra Gabrovo 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

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Sportist Svoge 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWLWDDWL

Head-to-head

Yantra Gabrovo 4–2–0 Sportist Svoge (6 last)

Yantra Gabrovo2-0Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge0-1Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo3-0Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge0-3Yantra Gabrovo
Yantra Gabrovo1-1Sportist Svoge
Sportist Svoge0-0Yantra Gabrovo

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yantra Gabrovo 1515 · Sportist Svoge 1462

	Yantra Gabrovo	Draw	Sportist Svoge
Our model	60%	27%	13%
Market	61%	24%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yantra Gabrovo (rating 1515 vs 1462).
H2H favours Yantra Gabrovo: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Yantra Gabrovo	Sportist Svoge
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.4	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	0/90/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.5	2 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X3.70

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:56 +1’	1.48	3.70	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Yantra Gabrovo 4–2–0 Sportist Svoge

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/03/26 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	2-0 HT 0-0	Sportist Svoge
30/08/25 Bulgaria Second League	Sportist Svoge	0-1 HT 0-0	Yantra Gabrovo
22/03/25 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	3-0 HT 1-0	Sportist Svoge
07/09/24 Bulgaria Second League	Sportist Svoge	0-3 HT 0-1	Yantra Gabrovo
12/05/24 Bulgaria Second League	Yantra Gabrovo	1-1 HT 1-1	Sportist Svoge
27/10/23 Bulgaria Second League	Sportist Svoge	0-0 HT 0-0	Yantra Gabrovo

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4	3	1	0	9	3	10
2	FK Fratria	4	3	0	1	5	1	9
3	CSKA Sofia II	3	2	1	0	8	4	7
4	Montana	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
5	Spartak Pleven	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
6	Beroe	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
7	Yantra Gabrovo	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
8	Nesebar	4	2	0	2	5	8	6
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
10	Chernomorets Burgas	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
11	Vihren Sandanski	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
12	Sportist Svoge	4	1	2	1	3	3	5
13	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
14	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
15	Marek Dupnitsa	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
16	Rilski Sportist	4	0	2	2	3	5	2
17	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3	0	0	3	6	9	0
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	3	0	0	3	1	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Yantra Gabrovo	Sportist Svoge
PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	1-0 W	0-0 D
Montana	3-2 W	2-2 D
Belasitsa	3-1 W	0-3 L
Dunav Ruse	1-0 W	3-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Yantra Gabrovo (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Yantra Gabrovo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/08	Montana Bulgaria Second League	2-2	3-2	6	5	W
03/08	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
25/07	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	7	6	L
07/07	Spartak Pleven Club Friendly List	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
04/07	Ludogorets Razgrad II Club Friendly List	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
24/06	Cherno More Varna Club Friendly List	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
28/05	Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria First League Play-Offs	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
23/05	Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	3-1	4	3	W
15/05	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	3	3	W

Sportist Svoge

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
09/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
02/08	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	5	5	D
25/07	Montana Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
23/05	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/05	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/05	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	2-0	3	2	W
02/05	Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
26/04	Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League	1-2	3-2	2	4	W
16/04	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yantra Gabrovo vs Sportist Svoge?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Yantra Gabrovo win (60%). Probabilities: Yantra Gabrovo 60%, draw 26%, Sportist Svoge 14%.

How many goals are expected in Yantra Gabrovo vs Sportist Svoge?

The model expects 2.17 goals (Yantra Gabrovo 1.56 · Sportist Svoge 0.6), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Yantra Gabrovo vs Sportist Svoge?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.