Football · Bulgaria Second League · 22/08, 17:00
Prediction: Vihren Sandanski vs FK Fratria
Team pages: Vihren Sandanski · FK Fratria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Vihren Sandanski1.3
FK Fratria1.1
1X2
Vihren Sandanski
Draw
FK Fratria
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vihren Sandanski
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
FK Fratria
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vihren Sandanski
1–2
FK Fratria
(3 last)
- Vihren Sandanski2-1FK Fratria
- FK Fratria2-0Vihren Sandanski
- FK Fratria2-0Vihren Sandanski
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vihren Sandanski 1562 · FK Fratria 1549
| Vihren Sandanski | Draw | FK Fratria | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Market | 41% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Fratria: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vihren Sandanski | FK Fratria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 1.2 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 6.3 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vihren Sandanski 1–0–2 FK Fratria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 Bulgaria Second League | Vihren Sandanski | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FK Fratria |
| 31/10/25 Bulgaria Second League | FK Fratria | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Vihren Sandanski |
| 14/05/24 Bulgaria Amateur Cup | FK Fratria | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Vihren Sandanski |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Fratria | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia II | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 4 | Montana | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 7 |
| 5 | Spartak Pleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | Beroe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Yantra Gabrovo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Nesebar | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Chernomorets Burgas | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Vihren Sandanski | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Sportist Svoge | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 13 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Marek Dupnitsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Rilski Sportist | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vihren Sandanski | FK Fratria |
|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia II | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Marek Dupnitsa | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vihren Sandanski
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 02/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 28/07 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 15/05 | Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 16/04 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/04 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
FK Fratria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 27/06 | Farul Constanta Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 04/05 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vihren Sandanski vs FK Fratria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vihren Sandanski win (40%). Probabilities: Vihren Sandanski 40%, draw 29%, FK Fratria 31%.
How many goals are expected in Vihren Sandanski vs FK Fratria?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Vihren Sandanski 1.3 · FK Fratria 1.1), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vihren Sandanski vs FK Fratria?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.