Football · Bulgaria Second League · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets Razgrad II

Team pages: CSKA Sofia II · Ludogorets Razgrad II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.74Total

CSKA Sofia II1.93

Ludogorets Razgrad II0.81

1X2

63% 23% 14%

CSKA Sofia II Draw Ludogorets Razgrad II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0

Recent form · 10 last

CSKA Sofia II 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWDLWWDWW

Ludogorets Razgrad II 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLWWL

Head-to-head

CSKA Sofia II 0–3–1 Ludogorets Razgrad II (4 last)

CSKA Sofia II0-0Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II4-1CSKA Sofia II
Ludogorets Razgrad II0-0CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II1-1Ludogorets Razgrad II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CSKA Sofia II 1565 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1515

	CSKA Sofia II	Draw	Ludogorets Razgrad II
Our model	63%	23%	14%
Market	63%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Sofia II (rating 1565 vs 1515).
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CSKA Sofia II	Ludogorets Razgrad II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 0.9	1.7 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	1.4 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.00

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.42 → 1.42	Bet365 1.42
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
11:23 +34’	1.42	4.00	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CSKA Sofia II 0–3–1 Ludogorets Razgrad II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	0-0 HT 0-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II
03/08/25 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	4-1 HT 1-1	CSKA Sofia II
22/03/25 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	0-0 HT 0-0	CSKA Sofia II
13/10/24 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	1-1 HT 0-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	4	3	1	0	9	3	10
2	FK Fratria	4	3	0	1	5	1	9
3	CSKA Sofia II	3	2	1	0	8	4	7
4	Montana	4	2	1	1	8	6	7
5	Spartak Pleven	4	2	1	1	6	4	7
6	Beroe	4	2	0	2	4	4	6
7	Yantra Gabrovo	4	2	0	2	5	6	6
8	Nesebar	4	2	0	2	5	8	6
9	Ludogorets Razgrad II	3	2	0	1	3	3	6
10	Chernomorets Burgas	3	1	2	0	3	2	5
11	Vihren Sandanski	3	1	2	0	5	4	5
12	Sportist Svoge	4	1	2	1	3	3	5
13	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	4	1	1	2	5	4	4
14	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
15	Marek Dupnitsa	4	1	0	3	2	4	3
16	Rilski Sportist	4	0	2	2	3	5	2
17	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	3	0	0	3	6	9	0
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	3	0	0	3	1	9	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CSKA Sofia II	Ludogorets Razgrad II
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	4-3 W	2-1 W
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3-0 W	2-1 W
Minyor Pernik	2-1 W	4-2 W
Yantra Gabrovo	0-1 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CSKA Sofia II

WWWDLWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-2	4-3	4	5	W
03/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	3-0	3	4	W
28/07	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
23/05	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/05	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	3	8	W
04/05	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
26/04	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	2-2	2-2	1	6	D
22/04	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-0	2-0	8	2	W
17/04	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	1-1	6-1	10	6	W
10/04	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	2	5	W

Ludogorets Razgrad II

WDWWLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
03/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/07	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
04/07	Yantra Gabrovo Club Friendly List	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
23/05	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/05	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
11/05	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/05	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
16/04	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-0	0	6	D
10/04	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	3-1	4-2	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CSKA Sofia II win (63%). Probabilities: CSKA Sofia II 63%, draw 23%, Ludogorets Razgrad II 14%.

How many goals are expected in CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

The model expects 2.74 goals (CSKA Sofia II 1.93 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 0.81), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.