Football · Bulgaria Second League · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Beroe vs Spartak Pleven

Team pages: Beroe · Spartak Pleven

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Beroe1.51
Spartak Pleven0.81
1X2
53% 28% 19%
Beroe Draw Spartak Pleven
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Beroe 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DWDLLLWLWL
Spartak Pleven 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLWLWWDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Beroe 1480 · Spartak Pleven 1483
BeroeDrawSpartak Pleven
Our model53%28%19%
Market53%28%19%
Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BeroeSpartak Pleven
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.51 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.50.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2 / 3.61.8 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.13.3 / 0

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4310 9310
2 FK Fratria 4301 519
3 CSKA Sofia II 3210 847
4 Montana 4211 867
5 Spartak Pleven 4211 647
6 Beroe 4202 446
7 Yantra Gabrovo 4202 566
8 Nesebar 4202 586
9 Ludogorets Razgrad II 3201 336
10 Chernomorets Burgas 3120 325
11 Vihren Sandanski 3120 545
12 Sportist Svoge 4121 335
13 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich 4112 544
14 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 4112 354
15 Marek Dupnitsa 4103 243
16 Rilski Sportist 4022 352
17 FC Hebar Pazardzhik 3003 690
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 3003 190

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBeroeSpartak Pleven
Ludogorets Razgrad II 2-0 W 1-3 L
Botev Plovdiv 0-4 L 0-4 L
Botev Vratsa 0-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Beroe

DWDLLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
14/08 FK Fratria
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 0-2 27 L
10/08 Ludogorets Razgrad II
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 2-0 33 W
01/08 Chernomorets Burgas
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 66 L
24/07 FC Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 2-1 25 W
12/07 Botev Plovdiv
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-4 L
22/05 Botev Vratsa
Bulgaria First League
0-1 0-3 95 L
18/05 Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria First League
0-0 0-1 54 L
14/05 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Bulgaria First League
1-0 1-1 07 D
10/05 PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich
Bulgaria First League
0-0 1-0 04 W
05/05 Montana
Bulgaria First League
0-2 2-2 55 D

Spartak Pleven

LLLLWLWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/08 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 0-1 85 L
09/08 Rilski Sportist
Bulgaria Second League
1-1 2-2 15 D
01/08 Marek Dupnitsa
Bulgaria Second League
1-0 2-1 34 W
25/07 Yantra Gabrovo
Bulgaria Second League
0-0 2-0 56 W
14/07 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-2 L
07/07 Yantra Gabrovo
Club Friendly List
0-0 2-0 W
03/07 Cherno More Varna
Club Friendly List
0-1 0-1 00 L
01/07 Botev Vratsa
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-2 L
23/06 Botev Plovdiv
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-4 30 L
23/05 Ludogorets Razgrad II
Bulgaria Second League
0-1 1-3 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Beroe vs Spartak Pleven?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Beroe win (53%). Probabilities: Beroe 53%, draw 28%, Spartak Pleven 19%.

How many goals are expected in Beroe vs Spartak Pleven?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Beroe 1.51 · Spartak Pleven 0.81), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Beroe vs Spartak Pleven?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.