Football · Bulgaria Second League · 29/08, 19:00
Prediction: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets Burgas
Team pages: Pirin Blagoevgrad · Chernomorets Burgas
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Pirin Blagoevgrad1.12
Chernomorets Burgas1.25
1X2
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw
Chernomorets Burgas
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
Chernomorets Burgas
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Pirin Blagoevgrad
4–1
Chernomorets Burgas
(5 last)
- Chernomorets Burgas2-0Pirin Blagoevgrad
- Pirin Blagoevgrad1-0Chernomorets Burgas
- Pirin Blagoevgrad1-0Chernomorets Burgas
- Pirin Blagoevgrad2-0Chernomorets Burgas
- Chernomorets Burgas0-2Pirin Blagoevgrad
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chernomorets Burgas (rating 1411 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Pirin Blagoevgrad: 4-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Pirin Blagoevgrad | Chernomorets Burgas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.8 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 3.8 | 0.6 / 2.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirin Blagoevgrad 4–0–1 Chernomorets Burgas
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04/26 Bulgaria Second League | Chernomorets Burgas | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
| 04/10/25 Bulgaria Second League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 28/06/20 Europe Friendlies | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 15/04/15 Bulgaria Second League | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chernomorets Burgas |
| 20/09/14 Bulgaria Second League | Chernomorets Burgas | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Pirin Blagoevgrad |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | FK Fratria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Nesebar | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 9 |
| 5 | Vihren Sandanski | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Beroe | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Yantra Gabrovo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Montana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 11 | Spartak Pleven | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Marek Dupnitsa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 14 | Rilski Sportist | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 |
| 15 | Chernomorets Burgas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 15 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Pirin Blagoevgrad | Chernomorets Burgas |
|---|---|---|
| FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Sportist Svoge | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| CSKA Sofia II | 0-3 L | 0-1 L |
| FC Sevlievo | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Marek Dupnitsa | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Chernomorets Burgas (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pirin Blagoevgrad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-7 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 11/05 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
Chernomorets Burgas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Beroe Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/05 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 27/04 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets Burgas?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chernomorets Burgas win (38%). Probabilities: Pirin Blagoevgrad 32%, draw 30%, Chernomorets Burgas 38%.
How many goals are expected in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets Burgas?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.12 · Chernomorets Burgas 1.25), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Chernomorets Burgas?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.