Football · Bulgaria Second League · 06/09, 18:00
Prediction: Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek Dupnitsa
Team pages: Yantra Gabrovo · Marek Dupnitsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Yantra Gabrovo1.37
Marek Dupnitsa0.69
1X2
Yantra Gabrovo
Draw
Marek Dupnitsa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Yantra Gabrovo
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Marek Dupnitsa
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Yantra Gabrovo
2–3–1
Marek Dupnitsa
(6 last)
- Marek Dupnitsa1-2Yantra Gabrovo
- Yantra Gabrovo1-0Marek Dupnitsa
- Yantra Gabrovo1-1Marek Dupnitsa
- Marek Dupnitsa1-1Yantra Gabrovo
- Yantra Gabrovo1-2Marek Dupnitsa
- Marek Dupnitsa1-1Yantra Gabrovo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yantra Gabrovo 1541 · Marek Dupnitsa 1498
| Yantra Gabrovo | Draw | Marek Dupnitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 30% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 26% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yantra Gabrovo (rating 1541 vs 1498).
- H2H favours Yantra Gabrovo: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Yantra Gabrovo | Marek Dupnitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6 | 2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 5.6 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yantra Gabrovo 2–3–1 Marek Dupnitsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Yantra Gabrovo |
| 24/08/25 Bulgaria Second League | Yantra Gabrovo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 08/12/24 Bulgaria Second League | Yantra Gabrovo | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 28/07/24 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Yantra Gabrovo |
| 20/05/24 Bulgaria Second League | Yantra Gabrovo | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Marek Dupnitsa |
| 03/11/23 Bulgaria Second League | Marek Dupnitsa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Yantra Gabrovo |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | FK Fratria | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia II | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Yantra Gabrovo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Burgas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Beroe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Montana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Marek Dupnitsa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Nesebar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 12 | Rilski Sportist | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Yantra Gabrovo | Marek Dupnitsa |
|---|---|---|
| Nesebar | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sportist Svoge | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 1-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Montana | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Spartak Pleven | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Marek Dupnitsa (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yantra Gabrovo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 23/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 03/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Belasitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Dunav Ruse Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
Marek Dupnitsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 29/08 | Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 16/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 01/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 23/05 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/05 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek Dupnitsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Yantra Gabrovo win (53%). Probabilities: Yantra Gabrovo 53%, draw 28%, Marek Dupnitsa 19%.
How many goals are expected in Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek Dupnitsa?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Yantra Gabrovo 1.37 · Marek Dupnitsa 0.69), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Yantra Gabrovo vs Marek Dupnitsa?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.