Football · Bulgaria Second League · 06/09, 18:00

Prediction: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II

Team pages: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo · CSKA Sofia II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo1.81

CSKA Sofia II1.55

1X2

43% 25% 32%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Draw CSKA Sofia II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWDLDL

CSKA Sofia II 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWWDLW

Head-to-head

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 3–1 CSKA Sofia II (4 last)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo3-1CSKA Sofia II
CSKA Sofia II4-1Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
CSKA Sofia II0-3Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo3-2CSKA Sofia II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1491 · CSKA Sofia II 1559

	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	Draw	CSKA Sofia II
Our model	43%	25%	32%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CSKA Sofia II (rating 1491 vs 1559).
H2H favours Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo: 3-0-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	CSKA Sofia II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.3	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 6.8	1.6 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.4 / 0.3	4.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 10:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.88 → 2.80▼	Pinn 3.18 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +1’	2.10	3.50	2.88
10:03 +19’	2.10	3.60▲	2.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:20 +10’	1.93	3.37	3.24
09:03 +14’	1.86▼	3.61▲	3.20▼
10:26 +109’	1.86	3.60▼	3.20
14:37 +17’	1.88▲	3.59▼	3.18▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 3–0–1 CSKA Sofia II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3-1 HT 2-1	CSKA Sofia II
23/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	4-1 HT 2-1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
03/05/25 Bulgaria Second League	CSKA Sofia II	0-3 HT 0-1	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
03/11/24 Bulgaria Second League	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3-2 HT 0-1	CSKA Sofia II

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Vihren Sandanski	7	4	3	0	15	7	15
2	FK Fratria	7	4	2	1	9	4	14
3	CSKA Sofia II	7	4	2	1	15	7	14
4	Yantra Gabrovo	7	4	1	2	9	7	13
5	Chernomorets Burgas	7	3	2	2	7	4	11
6	Beroe	7	3	2	2	9	6	11
7	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	7	3	2	2	13	11	11
8	Montana	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	Marek Dupnitsa	7	3	1	3	7	6	10
10	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	7	3	1	3	7	9	10
11	Nesebar	7	3	1	3	13	10	10
12	Rilski Sportist	7	2	3	2	7	7	9
13	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	7	2	2	3	12	13	8
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	7	2	2	3	5	8	8
15	Spartak Pleven	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
16	Sportist Svoge	7	1	3	3	4	6	6
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	7	1	2	4	7	10	5
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	7	0	0	7	3	24	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	CSKA Sofia II
Vihren Sandanski	1-4 L	1-1 D
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1-2 L	3-0 W
Yantra Gabrovo	2-1 W	0-1 L
Ludogorets Razgrad II	1-0 W	1-1 D
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	0-1 L	4-3 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: CSKA Sofia II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

LWLWWWDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-4	4	6	L
29/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	1-2	2-2	7	8	D
21/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	1-2	12	3	L
15/08	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/08	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
03/08	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	2-1	8	6	W
25/07	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	3-1	5-1	9	5	W
23/05	Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/05	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
10/05	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	6	7	L

CSKA Sofia II

LWWDWWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/09	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	2-1	5-1	3	3	W
29/08	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
25/08	Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	11	8	D
17/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	1-0	1-0	3	5	W
11/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	0-2	4-3	4	5	W
03/08	Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League	0-0	3-0	3	4	W
28/07	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
23/05	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/05	Minyor Pernik Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	3	8	W
04/05	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo win (43%). Probabilities: Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 43%, draw 25%, CSKA Sofia II 32%.

How many goals are expected in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo 1.81 · CSKA Sofia II 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo vs CSKA Sofia II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.