Football · Bulgaria Second League · 07/09, 16:00
Prediction: Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Team pages: Sportist Svoge · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.01Total
Sportist Svoge1.27
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0.75
1X2
Sportist Svoge
Draw
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportist Svoge
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportist Svoge
2–1–3
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
(6 last)
- Sportist Svoge0-1Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1-0Sportist Svoge
- Sportist Svoge3-0Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1-0Sportist Svoge
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa1-2Sportist Svoge
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa0-0Sportist Svoge
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportist Svoge 1460 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 1494
| Sportist Svoge | Draw | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 32% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 27% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportist Svoge | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/90/10% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 3.4 | 1.7 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportist Svoge 2–1–3 Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
| 20/09/25 Bulgaria Second League | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sportist Svoge |
| 03/05/25 Bulgaria Second League | Sportist Svoge | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
| 03/11/24 Bulgaria Second League | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sportist Svoge |
| 12/09/23 Bulgaria Cup | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sportist Svoge |
| 15/05/21 Bulgaria Second League | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sportist Svoge |
Standings · Bulgaria Second League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vihren Sandanski | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | FK Fratria | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | CSKA Sofia II | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Yantra Gabrovo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Burgas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | Beroe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 7 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 11 |
| 8 | Montana | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 11 |
| 9 | Marek Dupnitsa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| 10 | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Nesebar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 10 |
| 12 | Rilski Sportist | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 14 | Ludogorets Razgrad II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
| 17 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportist Svoge | Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa |
|---|---|---|
| PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Montana | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Chernomorets Burgas | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportist Svoge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09 | Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Marek Dupnitsa Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Nesebar Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/08 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Pirin Blagoevgrad Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 30/08 | Montana Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/08 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/07 | Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 15/05 | Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League |
1-4 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
| 11/05 | Ludogorets Razgrad II Bulgaria Second League |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sportist Svoge win (49%). Probabilities: Sportist Svoge 49%, draw 29%, Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 22%.
How many goals are expected in Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?
The model expects 2.01 goals (Sportist Svoge 1.27 · Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa 0.75), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportist Svoge vs Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.