Football · Bulgaria Second League · 07/09, 18:00

Prediction: Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets Razgrad II

Team pages: Pirin Blagoevgrad · Ludogorets Razgrad II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Pirin Blagoevgrad1.11

Ludogorets Razgrad II1.47

1X2

27% 28% 44%

Pirin Blagoevgrad Draw Ludogorets Razgrad II

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLLLLL

Ludogorets Razgrad II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLDDL

Head-to-head

Pirin Blagoevgrad 3–1–2 Ludogorets Razgrad II (6 last)

Pirin Blagoevgrad0-0Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II2-1Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad1-0Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II2-3Pirin Blagoevgrad
Pirin Blagoevgrad2-1Ludogorets Razgrad II
Ludogorets Razgrad II3-2Pirin Blagoevgrad

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ludogorets Razgrad II (rating 1385 vs 1494).
H2H favours Pirin Blagoevgrad: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pirin Blagoevgrad	Ludogorets Razgrad II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 3	1.1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 4.3	2.4 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	5.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.93

Under 2.51.78

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.34 → 3.34	Pinn 3.34
X	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.20
2	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:13 +49’	3.34	3.20	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pirin Blagoevgrad 3–1–2 Ludogorets Razgrad II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/04/26 Bulgaria Second League	Pirin Blagoevgrad	0-0 HT 0-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II
29/09/25 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-1 HT 1-1	Pirin Blagoevgrad
08/04/25 Bulgaria Second League	Pirin Blagoevgrad	1-0 HT 0-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II
30/09/24 Bulgaria Second League	Ludogorets Razgrad II	2-3 HT 2-3	Pirin Blagoevgrad
10/03/21 Bulgaria B PFG	Pirin Blagoevgrad	2-1 HT 1-0	Ludogorets Razgrad II
28/08/20 Bulgaria B PFG	Ludogorets Razgrad II	3-2 HT 1-2	Pirin Blagoevgrad

Standings · Bulgaria Second League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Yantra Gabrovo	8	5	1	2	12	7	16
2	Vihren Sandanski	7	4	3	0	15	7	15
3	FK Fratria	7	4	2	1	9	4	14
4	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	8	4	2	2	14	11	14
5	CSKA Sofia II	8	4	2	2	15	8	14
6	Nesebar	8	4	1	3	15	11	13
7	Beroe	8	3	3	2	11	8	12
8	Montana	7	3	2	2	12	8	11
9	Chernomorets Burgas	7	3	2	2	7	4	11
10	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	7	3	1	3	7	9	10
10	Marek Dupnitsa	8	3	1	4	7	9	10
12	Rilski Sportist	8	2	3	3	8	9	9
13	FC Hebar Pazardzhik	7	2	2	3	12	13	8
14	Ludogorets Razgrad II	7	2	2	3	5	8	8
15	Spartak Pleven	7	2	1	4	7	14	7
16	Sportist Svoge	7	1	3	3	4	6	6
17	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich	8	1	3	4	9	12	6
18	Pirin Blagoevgrad	7	0	0	7	3	24	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pirin Blagoevgrad	Ludogorets Razgrad II
Chernomorets Burgas	0-3 L	0-1 L
FC Hebar Pazardzhik	2-3 L	1-1 D
CSKA Sofia II	0-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Ludogorets Razgrad II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pirin Blagoevgrad

LWLLLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Yantra Gabrovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
23/08	Nesebar Bulgaria Second League	0-2	0-7	4	4	L
18/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	2-3	6	4	L
09/08	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
03/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-3	1	4	L
28/07	PFC Dobrudzha Dobrich Bulgaria Second League	0-2	1-5	2	4	L
23/05	FK Fratria Bulgaria Second League	0-3	0-3	–	–	L
15/05	FC Sevlievo Bulgaria Second League	2-0	4-1	8	4	W
11/05	Sportist Svoge Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	6	2	L

Ludogorets Razgrad II

WLWWWLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Chernomorets Burgas Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
29/08	FC Hebar Pazardzhik Bulgaria Second League	1-1	1-1	4	6	D
25/08	CSKA Sofia II Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-1	4	8	D
18/08	Vihren Sandanski Bulgaria Second League	0-1	0-2	2	12	L
10/08	Beroe Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-2	5	3	L
03/08	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
28/07	Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Second League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
23/05	Spartak Pleven Bulgaria Second League	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
15/05	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Bulgaria Second League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
11/05	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Bulgaria Second League	2-0	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ludogorets Razgrad II win (44%). Probabilities: Pirin Blagoevgrad 27%, draw 28%, Ludogorets Razgrad II 44%.

How many goals are expected in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Pirin Blagoevgrad 1.11 · Ludogorets Razgrad II 1.47), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Ludogorets Razgrad II?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.